Royal Mail vs SSE: Which falling share price should I buy?

The Royal Mail and SSE share prices have been falling recently. Should you invest in both or is one a value trap?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Royal Mail (LSE: RMG) shares have lost 45% of their value since November 2018 and haven’t been performing well at all this year. However, the high dividend yield and low price could tempt many investors into buying.

Likewise, SSE (LSE: SSE) has also seen its share price fall. In the past three years it’s dropped 26%. Having said this, could it now be back on the rise?

I’m going to take a look at both companies to understand why they could be undervalued and whether they are worth investing in.

Should you invest £1,000 in Royal Mail Group right now?

When investing expert Mark Rogers has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for nearly a decade has provided thousands of paying members with top stock recommendations from the UK and US markets. And right now, Mark thinks there are 6 standout stocks that investors should consider buying. Want to see if Royal Mail Group made the list?

See the 6 stocks

Daylight robbery?

Currently, Royal Mail shares are incredibly cheap after consistently dropping in value throughout the years. The shares did benefit from a 3% rise in September but they are still down 5.8% since the end of August.

However, if you look at the fundamentals, Royal Mail shares still look incredibly attractive, so is it just harshly undervalued? With a forecast dividend yield of 7.4% and a price-to-earnings ratio of under 9, it appears to be screaming buy. So, why aren’t investors cashing in, and what’s causing such a low valuation?

If we take a closer look at Royal Mail in terms of its earnings, it’s easy to see that there are some concerns. Earnings per share are projected to fall a staggering 49% in 2020. This is after a decline of 45% already in 2019. Furthermore, the projected dividend will only be covered 1.5 times by forecast earnings. This is far from comfortable when the company is suffering from cash flow problems.

Royal Mail is very aware of the potentially dire situation that it’s currently in and plans to invest around £1.8bn in its UK business over the next five years. However, this might not be enough to turn everything around and it could be too late, considering the rate shares are dropping.

Taking everything into account, it appears to me that Royal Mail is deserving of its low valuation. For now, I think that its’s worth staying away from this stock.

Looking better

On the other hand, I think that SSE could bring investors great rewards. While the share has been falling, it’s up 15% from its July lows. In September, it revealed a $500m deal to sell its retail business to rival OVO Energy. This will really help the company to pay off some of its debt and reinvest into the business.

The current dividend yield of 6.6% is very tempting, and I feel that it’s much more reliable than Royal Mail’s dividend. Furthermore, I think that SSE has a great business plan moving forward, focusing much more on renewable energy as people begin searching for alternatives to gas and oil. The company appears to be well-positioned to benefit from the UK’s gradual transition to low-carbon energy.

The sustainable business plan, million-dollar deal with OVO Energy and the high dividend make SSE a buy for me.

But there may be an even bigger investment opportunity that’s caught my eye:

Investing in AI: 3 Stocks with Huge Potential!

🤖 Are you fascinated by the potential of AI? 🤖

Imagine investing in cutting-edge technology just once, then watching as it evolves and grows, transforming industries and potentially even yielding substantial returns.

If the idea of being part of the AI revolution excites you, along with the prospect of significant potential gains on your initial investment…

Then you won't want to miss this special report inside Motley Fool Share Advisor – 'AI Front Runners: 3 Surprising Stocks Riding The AI Wave’!

And today, we're giving you exclusive access to ONE of these top AI stock picks, absolutely free!

Get your free AI stock pick

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

fional has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Investing Articles

Up 68%, is this top UK dividend share still a bargain buy?

This big dividend share looks like a cash machine and offers a market-beating yield - but is it still cheap?…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

£10K invested in Greggs shares at the start of 2025 is now worth…

Greggs shares have tumbled badly so far this year. There may be good reasons for that, but as a long-term…

Read more »

Businessman with tablet, waiting at the train station platform
Investing Articles

Here’s the growth forecast for BAE Systems shares through to 2027!

I think BAE Systems could be one of the hottest growth shares to consider right now. Here's why I'm a…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

2 top ETFs for investors seeking high-yield dividend shares to consider!

Looking for dividend shares to buy? Here are two top ETFs that may be safer, and no less lucrative, options…

Read more »

A mature adult sitting by a fireplace in a living room at home. She is wearing a yellow cardigan and spectacles.
Investing Articles

Yielding 9.4%, Legal & General shares are a passive income-generating machine

Legal & General’s shares may have struggled for momentum, but this Fool still rates them in the big league for…

Read more »

A row of satellite radars at night
Investing Articles

I just invested £2k in IAG shares. These forecasts suggest I’ve backed a winner!

When IAG shares dipped last month, Harvey Jones couldn't believe his luck. Now he's buckled up for what he thinks…

Read more »

Tariffs and Global Economic Supply Chains
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Scottish Mortgage shares just 1 month ago is now worth…

Ben McPoland takes a look at a handful of growth shares in the Scottish Mortgage portfolio to see how they…

Read more »

UK supporters with flag
Investing Articles

2 UK stocks that could be set for a roaring recovery

This investor highlights a pair of UK stocks from the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 indexes that may be set…

Read more »