Lloyds shares: are they worth buying for the dividend?

Lloyds (LON: LLOY) shares currently yield more than 6%. But if you’re thinking about buying the stock for the dividend, there are things you need to know.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Lloyds Bank (LSE: LLOY) shares are popular among income investors as they offer a high dividend yield. Currently, the FTSE 100 stock offers a prospective yield of a spectacular 6.4%, which is no doubt appealing when you consider the low interest rates offered on savings accounts.

However, as experienced investors know, there’s more to dividend investing than just yield. When investing for income, it’s also important to analyse dividend coverage and dividend growth. You want to make sure that the dividend is sustainable and that it will provide protection against inflation going forward. With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at Lloyds shares to see how the dividend stacks up.

Solid coverage

Looking at dividend coverage, Lloyds’ dividend appears to be relatively safe. As the table below shows, the bank’s dividend coverage ratio was 1.71 last year and this year, analysts forecast a ratio of 2.28.

  FY2017 FY2018 FY2019E
Earnings per share (p) 4.40 5.50 7.67
Dividend per share (p) 3.05 3.21 3.36
Dividend coverage ratio 1.44 1.71 2.28

Generally speaking, a dividend coverage ratio above two is good. This indicates that earnings comfortably cover the dividend and that there’s a low chance of a dividend cut. Overall, I’m happy with the level of dividend coverage that Lloyds offers.

Healthy dividend growth

Examining dividend growth, I also like what I see. Over the last three years, Lloyds has increased its payout by 43% from 2.25p to 3.21p, which is an impressive level of growth.

  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019E FY2020E
Dividend per share (p) 2.25 2.55 3.05 3.21 3.36 3.53

Looking ahead, analysts currently forecast dividend increases of 5% this year and next year. Clearly, the trend is up, which is what you want from a dividend-investing perspective. If the payout keeps rising, it should provide inflation protection.

Risks

Moving on to risks, is there anything that could impact Lloyds’ ability to pay its dividend?

In Lloyds’ case, there are a number of risks that do concern me. For starters, the bank is highly exposed to the UK economy meaning a Brexit-related economic downturn could hit profits. This could threaten the dividend.

In addition, competition from FinTech companies is another issue to consider. Today, digital banks and FinTech start-ups are completely overhauling the banking industry and if the traditional banks aren’t careful, they could lose customers. This could potentially impact profits and dividends over the long run.

Valuation

Finally, turning to the valuation, Lloyds shares currently trade on a forward-looking P/E ratio of a low 6.8. That’s less than half the median FTSE 100 forward P/E of 14.2. In my view, that valuation is attractive.

Good dividend stock?

All things considered, I think Lloyds shares look attractive from a dividend-investing perspective. The yield is appealing, dividend coverage is healthy, and the payout looks set to grow in the years ahead.

That said, given the uncertainty over Brexit and how this will impact the UK economy, there are other dividend-paying companies that I’d buy before Lloyds at the moment.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Edward Sheldon owns shares in Lloyds Banking Group. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Here’s how a Stocks and Shares ISA and Lifetime ISA could supercharge my wealth!

Individual Savings Accounts (ISAs) can help UK share investors take their earnings to the next level. And their importance is…

Read more »

A person holding onto a fan of twenty pound notes
Investing Articles

A high-yield dividend ETF and an investment trust to consider this November!

Investors wanting to boost their passive income could benefit from investigating these high-yield funds and trusts, says Royston Wild.

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 of my favourite, cheap FTSE 100 growth shares this November!

These FTSE 100 growth shares could be great long-term picks to consider, reckons Royston Wild. At current prices he thinks…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Up 26%, can the BT share price really push higher still?

The BT share price has surged on several catalysts in 2024, but there’s evidence to suggest that the stock could…

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

What are the best dividend shares to buy right now?

As shares in B&M European Value Retail have fallen, the dividend yield has reached a 10-year high. Should investors be…

Read more »

Surprised Black girl holding teddy bear toy on Christmas
Investing Articles

My favourite FTSE 100 passive income stock that keeps the Christmas coffers full

The holiday season is expensive and can leave many consumers struggling to make ends meet. Here’s how I use a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

The latest growth forecasts suggest the Glencore share price will hit 555p!

Harvey Jones has been disappointed by the performance of the Glencore share price since he bought the commodity stock last…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

A closer look at the 11% dividend yield forecast for Phoenix Group shares

Phoenix Group shares have one of the highest dividend yields in the FTSE 100 index today. Could this be a…

Read more »