Thinking about buying the UKOG share price? Here’s what you need to know

What’s behind the UK Oil & Gas plc (LON: UKOG) share price’s recent rally?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares in oil & gas minnow UKOG (LSE: UKOG) jumped in early deals today. Investors rushed to buy shares in the business after it announced the completion of the acquisition of a further 35% in its flagship asset.

Specifically, UKOG has completed the acquisition of Magellan Petroleum (UK) Investment Holdings Limited from Tellurian Investments LLC.

Acquisition detail

Magellan’s 35% direct interest in the Horse Hill oil field is held through the PEDL137 and PEDL246 licences. This significantly increases UKOG’s holding in its flagship Horse Hill oil field asset from 50.635% to a controlling 85.635%.

The firm also notes that this gives a 69% increase in UKOG’s associated Horse Hill net asset value and net reserves/resources.

Following the deal, the company is now poised to crack on with further drilling and testing operations. UKOG is planning to commence simultaneous Horse Hill-2/2z Portland drilling and HH-1 Kimmeridge test operations before the end of September, which should give shareholders some positive news before the end of the month.

Commenting on the conclusion of the deal in today’s press release, CEO Stephen Sanderson said: “The remainder of the year at Horse Hill looks set to be highly eventful and, hopefully, financially transformative, as we drive to seek to establish permanent oil production by year-end.

Pushing ahead

UKOG’s latest deal gives the company a solid base to grow and develop from over the next few months, and I am excited to see the development of the business from here. Oil is already flowing, and further success at the wellhead could put the enterprise firmly on track to becoming a profitable, self-sustaining business.

However, in the meantime shareholders need to keep an eye on dilution. The company has historically relied on issuing new shares to fund its operations, eroding shareholder value. The Magellan the deal has been partly funded using this method.

UKOG has issued £3m or 275,988,960 new ordinary shares to satisfy part of the £12m purchase price. The balance was settled in cash. Following this issue, the company’s enlarged share capital stands at 6.4bn ordinary shares, up from around 2bn ordinary shares at the end of March 2016.

Until UKOG stops issuing new shares to fund its operations, it is going to be challenging to try to compute the value here. Issuing new shares dilutes existing shareholders and per share valuation metrics.

Turning point

The good news is that if UKOG can ramp up its drilling and production activities over the next few months, then this risk should start to dissipate. In my opinion, that would mark a turning point for the business.

If UKOG can become self-sustaining with cash generated from operations, and break its reliance on shareholders to keep the lights on, I reckon there is a good chance the stock could rise substantially from current levels. But until the business reaches this point, I think uncertainty will continue to weigh on the shares. That’s something to consider if you are thinking about buying the UKOG share price today.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
US Stock

Up 59% this year, this S&P 500 stock is smashing the index!

Jon Smith points out a stock from the S&P 500 that's flying right now as part of a transformation plan,…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

Stock market correction: a rare second income opportunity?

Falling share prices are pushing dividend yields higher. That makes it a good time for investors looking for chances to…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Dividend Shares

I just discovered this REIT with a juicy 9% dividend yield

Jon Smith points out a REIT that just came on his radar due to the high yield, but comes with…

Read more »

Aviva logo on glass meeting room door
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Aviva shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Aviva shares have vastly outperformed the FTSE 100 over the last 5 years. Zaven Boyrazian explores just how much money…

Read more »

Photo of a man going through financial problems
Investing Articles

The stock market hasn’t crashed… yet. Don’t wait too long to prepare

Mark Hartley outlines what defines a stock market crash and provides a few tips and tricks to help UK investors…

Read more »

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig
Investing Articles

After a 30% rally, are BP shares too expensive — or should I consider more?

Mark Hartley breaks down the investment case for BP shares and whether the new project in Egypt is enough to…

Read more »

Two elderly people relaxing in the summer sunshine Box Hill near Dorking Surrey England
Investing Articles

Forget the FTSE 100 and come back after summer? Here’s my plan!

With the FTSE 100 moving around in a volatile way, should our writer just forget all about it for a…

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

£20,000 invested in a Stocks and Shares ISA 5 years ago could now be worth…

The last five years have been something of a roller coaster for the markets. How would £20k in a Stocks…

Read more »