The State Pension forecast: what you need to know

The State Pension is changing over the next few decades. Here’s what you need to know to avoid hardship.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

According to a recent survey, approximately 50% of future retirees are unsure of how pensions work, how much money they will receive in retirement, and how often. What’s more, nearly two-thirds of respondents said they didn’t know at what age they would be able to access their pension pot.

When asked if they thought the current full basic UK State Pension was enough to live off, almost 90% of respondents said they didn’t think so. Some 46% also said they didn’t think this amount would be enough to cover their monthly outgoings.

Fortunately, the State Pension is forecast to increase in the years ahead. But it’s only set to increase in line with the cost of living. The State Pension age is also going to increase over the next few decades. At the time of writing, that age is gradually increasing for men and women and will reach 67 by 2028.

Should you invest £1,000 in Unilever right now?

When investing expert Mark Rogers has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for nearly a decade has provided thousands of paying members with top stock recommendations from the UK and US markets. And right now, Mark thinks there are 6 standout stocks that investors should consider buying. Want to see if Unilever made the list?

See the 6 stocks

Guaranteed growth

The State Pension increases every year under the triple-lock guarantee. This ensures it will rise every year by inflation, by 2.5% or average earnings, whichever is higher.

On that basis, it’s guaranteed to increase by at least 2.5% every year for the foreseeable future. At the beginning of April, the New State Pension increase by 2.6% to £168.60 for the 2019/20 tax year. The old Basic State Pension is £129.20 per week. 

Based on these figures, according to my calculations, assuming the government doesn’t change the triple-lock in 10 years, the New State Pension will be £215.82 a week. By 2039, pensioners will be entitled to £276.27 a week, according to my numbers.

Start saving for the future

If you are one of the people who doesn’t think this level will be enough to cover your expenses in retirement, then now’s the time to take action. Your best option is to start saving yourself to prepare for the future. Luckily, there are plenty of different options available to savers today. Almost all of them have tax benefits.

My favourite is the Self Invested Personal Pension (SIPP). Not only are SIPP funds protected from capital gains and income tax, but the government also gives you a tax bonus for investing. For basic rate taxpayers, every £80 you contribute, the government will provide you with an extra £20, helping you kickstart your savings journey.

How much you need to contribute in total really depends on the quality of life you want in retirement. For an average annual income of £25,000 a year after retirement (excluding State Pension income) I calculate you will need to put away £625,000. That might seem like a lot, but I calculate a deposit a £360 a month (£450 including the government top-up for 30 years) invested in a low-cost FTSE 100 tracker (with an average annual return of 8%) would get you to this target.

If you’re happy taking on more risk, you could also buy a FTSE 250 tracker, or a basket of dividend stocks such as BP, Vodafone and BT.

So, if you’re worried about what the future holds for your State Pension, the best way to prevent any negative surprises is to start saving and investing your money today.

Investing in AI: 3 Stocks with Huge Potential!

🤖 Are you fascinated by the potential of AI? 🤖

Imagine investing in cutting-edge technology just once, then watching as it evolves and grows, transforming industries and potentially even yielding substantial returns.

If the idea of being part of the AI revolution excites you, along with the prospect of significant potential gains on your initial investment…

Then you won't want to miss this special report inside Motley Fool Share Advisor – 'AI Front Runners: 3 Surprising Stocks Riding The AI Wave’!

And today, we're giving you exclusive access to ONE of these top AI stock picks, absolutely free!

Get your free AI stock pick

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Retirement Articles

A senior group of friends enjoying rowing on the River Derwent
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in a SIPP 5 years ago could now be worth…

Here’s how much someone could have made in a SIPP had they invested in the last stock market crash. Is…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How much would an ISA investor need for an early retirement?

Even with the rising cost of living, regular investment in a Stocks and Shares ISA could help Britons retire before…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Want a comfortable retirement? Here’s how big your SIPP needs to be

Investors need to earn at least £43,100 during retirement to live comfortably. Zaven Boyrazian explains how to grow a SIPP…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If a 40 year old invests £600 a month in a SIPP, here’s what they could have by retirement

With no retirement savings at 40, an investor could put £600 a month into a SIPP and grow its value…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is a £333,000 portfolio enough to retire and live off passive income?

A third of a million pounds can generate a serious amount of passive income, but relying on this sum alone…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

How much would a 40-year-old need to invest in an ISA to earn a £2k monthly passive income in retirement?

A balanced portfolio of FTSE 100 and S&P 500 shares could create healthy streams of passive income, says Royston Wild.

Read more »

Smiling family of four enjoying breakfast at sunrise while camping
Investing Articles

Why contributing to a SIPP before 45 is a really smart idea

If someone starts contributing to a SIPP at 40, they can potentially build up a huge amount of savings for…

Read more »

Retirement Articles

How much should investors put in a SIPP to earn the average UK wage in retirement?

Charlie Carman explains how investors can use a SIPP to buy dividend stocks with the goal of securing a comfortable…

Read more »