Why I believe the Shell share price will always beat buy-to-let

Royal Dutch Shell plc class B (LON: RDSB) could return 10% a year for the next decade, a much better return than buy-to-let, argues Rupert Hargreaves.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Many people believe property investing is safer than equity investing. As a result, most investors would rather own rental property than stocks. However, I’m a great believer in the power of equity investing.

Today, I’m going to explain why I believe the Royal Dutch Shell (LSE: RDSB) share price is highly likely to outperform buy-to-let property as an asset class over the long term.

Risks growing 

The return you can achieve from buy-to-let investing varies greatly depending on the region of the country where you decide to deploy your capital. On average, over the past few decades, buy-to-let investments have seen a high single to low double-digit annual return on their money. By comparison, over the past decade, the Shell share price has returned 9.5% per annum for investors, including income and capital gains.

So, investors have achieved a reasonably similar return from both asset classes over the past decade, before deducting expenses and taxes. Going forward, I think it’s unlikely buy-to-let property will continue to generate the same kind of returns as it has done over the past decade. There are several reasons why I believe this will be the case.

First of all, the government has cracked down on the lucrative tax benefits buy-to-let investors have enjoyed for a long time. As a result, many landlords have seen their profits evaporate. Second, after years of rising prices due to limited supply and falling interest rates, home prices are starting to come off the boil. Banks are tightening lending criteria, and home building has recovered close to pre-crisis levels. Thirdly, landlords now have to deal with a whole range of new regulations designed to ensure they don’t cut corners with maintenance.

Market leader 

While Shell does operate in a highly regulated and controlled industry, the company’s size and experience means it’s well-versed in dealing with any issues that arise. And, more importantly, investors don’t have to worry about dealing with these issues themselves.

As one of the largest producers of oil and gas in the world, and the largest trader of hydrocarbons in Europe, Shell dominates the markets it operates in and generates vast profits as a result. This is unlikely to change anytime soon, which makes the company a tremendous defensive investment in my view.

I reckon Shell will maintain its market position for many years to come, generating healthy profits for investors. Meanwhile, buy-to-let investors face ever-increasing regulation and the prospect of deteriorating returns. 

Another factor to consider is that Shell is an internationally diverse energy business. Its future isn’t dependent on any one key market. On the other hand, if you invest in buy-to-let property, you’re hoping the UK economy continues to grow.

Income champion

You can still get buy-to-let properties with rental yields in the high single digits, but this excludes the cost of managing the properties. I’d much rather pick up a dividend cheque from Shell. At current prices, the stock supports a dividend yield of around 5.7% — an impressive level of income for almost no work on your part. That’s why I believe the Shell share price will always beat buy-to-let. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns shares in Royal Dutch Shell plc class B. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Surely, the Rolls-Royce share price can’t go any higher in 2025?

The Rolls-Royce share price was the best performer on the FTSE 100 in 2023 and so far in 2024. Dr…

Read more »

A young woman sitting on a couch looking at a book in a quiet library space.
Investing Articles

Here’s how an investor could start buying shares with £100 in January

Our writer explains some of the things he thinks investors on a limited budget should consider before they start buying…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Forget FTSE 100 airlines! I think shares in this company offer better value to consider

Stephen Wright thinks value investors looking for shares to buy should include aircraft leasing company Aercap. But is now the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Are Rolls-Royce shares undervalued heading into 2025?

As the new year approaches, Rolls-Royce shares are the top holding of a US fund recommended by Warren Buffett. But…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£20k in a high-interest savings account? It could be earning more passive income in stocks

Millions of us want a passive income, but a high-interest savings account might not be the best way to do…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 tried and tested ways to earn passive income in 2025

Our writer examines the latest market trends and economic forecasts to uncover three great ways to earn passive income in…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s what £10k invested in the FTSE 100 at the start of 2024 would be worth today

Last week's dip gives the wrong impression of the FTSE 100, which has had a pretty solid year once dividends…

Read more »

Investing Articles

UK REITs: a once-in-a-decade passive income opportunity?

As dividend yields hit 10-year highs, Stephen Wright thinks real estate investment trusts could be a great place to consider…

Read more »