Should I buy Glencore shares or this FTSE 100 8% dividend?

The Glencore plc (LON: GLEN) share price is lagging many FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX) rivals.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Glencore (LSE: GLEN) share price has lagged most of its FTSE 100 mining rivals this year, as the group’s reputation has taken a hammering.

I think the shares look reasonably priced at current levels. But for investors focused on maximising income, I think there may be better choices elsewhere.

What’s wrong at Glencore?

One reason that Glencore shares are under pressure is that the company is currently the subject of several corruption investigations. In the US, two investigations are under way into possible corrupt practices in the Swiss-based company’s overseas operations. Both are thought to relate to activities in Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

The company is also being investigated by authorities in Brazil, in connection with possible bribery offences connected to state oil group Petrobras. And in December, a former employee was fined $1.8m by Canadian regulators.

Will these investigations cause lasting damage to the Glencore business? Probably not, in my view. But I suspect these reputational issues could result in some major investors avoiding the shares for the time being.

A dirty bargain?

Another potential concern for Glencore shareholders is the group’s focus on coal, which generated about one third of profits last year. A growing number of major investors are avoiding companies that produce coal, due to environmental concerns.

My view on this is that coal will remain an important source of profits for Glencore for the foreseeable future. Demand for the black stuff isn’t likely to disappear for decades. But this focus on ‘dirty energy’ could limit the stock’s valuation gains, as the market may price in environmental costs and the risk of future decline.

At about 310p, Glencore shares trade on 11 times 2019 forecast earnings and offer a 4.8% dividend yield. I’d rate the shares as a hold at this level, but for income investors I think there may be better options.

This 8% yield looks tempting

One company that has outperformed Glencore in recent years is coal and steel group Evraz (LSE: EVR). The Evraz share price has gained 41% over the last year, compared to a 10% fall for Glencore shares.

Although it’s based in Russia, Evraz operates in North America as well as Russia and Ukraine. A simplified view of the business is that it operates coal and iron ore mines in Russia and Ukraine. These supply the raw materials needed for steelmaking, much of which takes place in North America.

This group’s low cost mines and attractive scale mean that it generates a lot of cash. In 2018, Evraz reported free cash flow of $1,940m from total revenue of $12,836m. That represents a free cash flow yield of 16%, a very impressive figure.

Most of this spare cash was returned to shareholders, which paid dividends totalling $1,600m last year. At the current share price, that gives a dividend yield of 14%.

An income buy?

Evraz is what I call an oligarch stock. About 60% of the shares are controlled by three rich Russians, including Chelsea FC owner Roman Abramovich. My view is that such people own assets like this to provide them with income and a safe home for their cash.

For this reason, I think the firm’s focus on cash returns will continue. For investors who are happy investing in Russia, I think the shares could be a buy.

Roland Head has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Picture of an easyJet plane taking off.
Investing Articles

Should I buy easyJet shares near 52-week lows on a P/E ratio of 5.6?

easyJet shares have tanked amid the Iran conflict and the associated spike in oil prices. Is there a value investing…

Read more »

Happy African American Man Hugging New Car In Auto Dealership
Investing Articles

Below 40p, Aston Martin’s shares are sinking fast. How low could they go?

Aston Martin’s share price has crashed 98% since IPO. Could it hit zero, or will something come along and change…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

This FTSE 100 stock has an above-average yield and sells on a P/E ratio of 6. Why?

Is this FTSE 100 stock the apparent bargain it seems? Or could events beyond its control hurt profits and potentially…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Here’s why 8.8%-yielding Legal & General shares remain my top pick for a high-income retirement portfolio

Legal & General shares have delivered years of rising income for my family — and new forecasts suggest the payouts…

Read more »

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

Around £45, is it time for me to buy this overlooked FTSE growth gem on the dip after strong results?

This FTSE 100 growth share looks far cheaper than its fundamentals merit — and if the market wakes up to…

Read more »

Rolls-Royce's Pearl 10X engine series
Investing Articles

These 5 red flags mean I’m avoiding Rolls-Royce shares like the plague!

Thinking about buying Rolls-Royce shares on the dip? Royston Wild thinks risk-averse investors should consider avoiding the FTSE 100 stock.

Read more »

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Investing Articles

After the FTSE 250’s slump, I see beautiful bargains everywhere!

Fancy doing a bit of bargain shopping? Royston Wild explains why now could a great time to buy FTSE 250…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
US Stock

As the S&P 500 tumbles, this stock continues to soar

Jon Smith takes a deep-dive into a farming stock that's jumped 23% so far this year, easily beating the S&P…

Read more »