FTSE 100-member Lloyds’ share price is up 25% in 2019. Here’s what I’d do now

I think that Lloyds Banking Group plc (LON: LLOY) could outperform the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX) after a strong start to the year.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Having risen by 25% since the start of the year, Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) may appear to be due a pullback. Its shares, though, continue to offer a wide margin of safety, while recent updates from the bank suggest that it is delivering on its growth potential.

As such, further outperformance of the FTSE 100 could be ahead over the long run. Alongside another stock that reported encouraging results on Monday, Lloyds could be worth buying right now.

Improving prospects

The stock in question is supplier of ventilation products, Volution (LSE: FAN). Its interim results showed a rise in revenue of 16.3% to £114.8m, while adjusted operating profit moved 10.7% higher to £20.2m. Encouragingly, the four acquisitions that were completed in the previous year are integrating and performing well. Those acquisitions have enhanced the company’s business model, while also providing additional diversification.

The company’s performance in the UK has been relatively strong. Despite operational challenges at its Reading facility, it has achieved improved production levels that have been sustained into the second half of the year. It has also experienced good traction with its new Xenion range of decentralised heat recovery ventilation in Germany.

With Volution forecast to deliver net profit growth of 10% in the current year, it seems to have a bright future. A price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 1.3 suggests that it may have a wide margin of safety and could deliver improving share price performance.

Low valuation

Also offering a low valuation is Lloyds. Even though its shares have made strong gains since the start of the year, it has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 8.5. This suggests that investors continue to price in the risks facing the bank, in terms of an uncertain outlook for the UK economy.

While that is perhaps to be expected given the political and economic challenges facing the UK, recent quarterly updates from Lloyds have generally been positive. Despite difficult trading conditions, it has been able to further reduce costs and improve its income prospects. Like all UK-focused banks, it has endured a prolonged period of low interest rates, which means that net interest margins across the sector have been suppressed. Therefore, as interest rates move higher over the coming years, there could be improving profitability ahead that has not yet been priced in by the stock market.

As ever, there are risks ahead for the stock. Brexit could have a negative impact on the economy, for example. There may also be global challenges over the coming months. But from a risk/reward perspective, Lloyds seems to be highly appealing – even after its recent stock price surge. Therefore, now could be a good time to buy it, with its growth strategy seemingly intact and it having a wide margin of safety at a time when the FTSE 100 is trading within 10% of its all-time high.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Lloyds Banking Group. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Want a £1,320 passive income in 2025? These 2 UK shares could deliver it!

These dividend stocks have long histories of paying large and growing dividends. They're tipped to deliver more huge rewards in…

Read more »

Investing Articles

With P/E ratios below 8, I think these FTSE 250 shares are bargains!

The forward P/E ratios on these FTSE 250 shares are far below the index average of 14.1 times. I think…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Are stocks and shares the only way to become an ISA millionaire?

With Cash ISAs offering 5%, do stocks and shares make sense at the moment? Over the longer term, Stephen Wright…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

4,775 shares in this dividend stock could yield me £1.6k a year in passive income

Jon Smith explains how he can build passive income from dividend payers via regular investing that can compound quickly.

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is the Rolls-Royce share price heading to 655p? This analyst thinks so

While the Rolls-Royce share price continues to thrash the FTSE 100, this writer has a couple of things on his…

Read more »

Investing Articles

What’s going on with the National Grid share price now?

Volatility continues for the National Grid share price. Is this a warning sign for investors to heed or a buying…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man wearing glasses, staring into space over the top of his laptop in a coffee shop
US Stock

This is a huge week for Nvidia stock

It’s a make-or-break week for Nvidia stock as the company is posting its Q3 earnings on Wednesday. Here’s what investors…

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

After crashing 50% this FTSE value stock looks filthy cheap with a P/E of just 9.1%

Harvey Jones has some unfinished business with this FTSE 100 value stock, which he reckons has been harshly treated by…

Read more »