Why I’d buy into the unloved BT share price

I think the improving prospects for BT Group – class A common stock (LON:BT-A) could lead to a higher share price, says Tezcan Gecgil.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

BT Group‘s (LSE: BT-A) share price has plunged relentlessly over the last three years, from a near-500p peak in November 2015 to a low of 201p in May 2018.  

However, the business may be starting to turn a corner and I suggest that long-term value and dividend investors consider adding the blue-chip shares into their telecoms portfolio. 

Is your portfolio 5G ready?

Creating growth opportunities in a mature industry like telecommunication services requires proactive management. And that’s where one of BT’s strengths may lie. I believe the upcoming 5G revolution should be a strong catalyst for the company’s share price and management certainly regards the 5G rollout strategy as a priority area.

5G stands for “fifth generation mobile networks.” The benefits of 5G will include much faster download speeds, more data capacity — a must for the Internet of Things (IoT) devices — and very little lag in mobile applications, which should have a positive impact on the development of online gaming as well as self-driving cars.

BT’s mobile subsidiary EE will launch 5G services in about 20 UK cities within the next few months in its efforts to beat rivals, especially Vodafone. The group will also market a 5G home router for residential broadband coverage.

The company is aiming to be the 5G leader and organic earnings growth linked to the technology is expected to materialise in several years, after the full UK-wide 5G commercial launch in 2022 and onwards.

Buy-and-hold investors would not see the positive effects of the 5G strategy on the bottom line and the share price for a good few years and some patience is therefore necessary. However, the current low share price makes the shares an attractive play on the future 5G revolution.

Robust dividend yield

In the meantime, BT’s current dividend yield of 6.5% could also make the company an important addition to an income-generating portfolio.

This month, it paid an interim dividend of 4.62p for FY2018/19. The next final dividend payment is expected in late August and the forecast dividend for the year is 15.4p.

As a mostly subscription-based business, it has a stable cash flow, another positive factor to consider for dividend investors.

In its earnings release in January, the group said that the full-year profits would be at the top end of the guidance range. Revenues of £5.93bn beat expectations, buoyed by a tariffs price increase. The shares currently trade at a P/E of 11.2, a number that should catch the attention of value investors.

The arrival this month of Philip Jansen as new CEO after the departure of Gavin Patterson marks a big change. Analysts regard the turnaround strategy initiated by his predecessor, especially the strict cost-cutting measures that have helped boost margins, as crucial in BT’s comeback story. Therefore the new CEO is expected to stay the course for now.

However, many analysts and investors are divided as to whether BT should continue to offer combined services to customers by bundling TV, internet and mobile contracts.

The Bottom line

I regard BT as one of the key telecom stocks to buy for value and dividends. Despite the lagging share price since 2016, the company has a strong brand and an infrastructure for both mobile and broadband that covers 90% of the country — two reasons that should also make it a dominant player in the 5G sphere. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

tezcang has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Stack of one pound coins falling over
Investing Articles

2 penny shares I think could shine in 2025

I have my eye on a few penny shares, as I'm thinking that the year ahead could turn out to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 ISA strategies for success in 2025

The ISA is a great vehicle for our investments, sheltering our returns from tax and providing us with the opportunity…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how an investor could start building a £10,000 second income for £180 per month in 2025

Our writer illustrates how an investor could put under £200 each month into shares and build a long-term five-figure passive…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’m finding bargain shares to buy for 2025!

Our writer takes a fairly simply approach when it comes to hunting for cheap shares to buy for his portfolio.…

Read more »

A graph made of neon tubes in a room
Investing Articles

Up 262%! This lesser-known energy company is putting other S&P 500 stocks to shame

Our writer delves into the rationale behind the parabolic growth of this under-the-radar S&P 500 energy company. The reason isn’t…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Just released: December’s small-cap stock recommendation [PREMIUM PICKS]

We believe the UK small-cap market offers a myriad of opportunities across a wide range of different businesses and industries.

Read more »

Aerial shot showing an aircraft shadow flying over an idyllic beach
Investing Articles

£20k of savings? Here’s how an investor could turn that into passive income of £5k a year

A £20k lump sum, invested in a mix of blue-chip shares with a long-term approach, could generate thousands of pounds…

Read more »

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

Is the BP share price set for a 75% jump?

The highest analyst target for BP shares in 2025 is 75% above the current price. So should investors consider buying…

Read more »