Is the Tullow Oil share price or this FTSE 100 falling knife the brighter bargain today?

Could Tullow Oil plc (LON: TLW) offer better recovery potential than a FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE:UKX) faller?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

A number of shares in the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 have fallen in recent months. One major decliner has been oil and gas producer Tullow Oil (LSE: TLW). It has recorded a fall in its share price of 32% since early October, with a declining oil price being a key reason for this. The price of oil has dropped by 30% during the same period, with concerns surrounding the world economy weighing on investor sentiment.

As such, Tullow Oil now offers a wide margin of safety, with its valuation appearing to be relatively low. However, could a FTSE 100 share which reported improving performance on Tuesday offer better growth potential?

Continued progress

The company in question is Total Quality Assurance provider to a variety of industries, Intertek (LSE: ITRK). It released a trading update for the first 10 months of the 2018 financial year, with revenue increasing by 4.8% to £2,315.7m. It was able to deliver broad-based organic revenue growth across its divisions, while maintaining continued operational discipline on margin and cash management. It also reported that the Alchemy acquisition is integrating well, while it is expanding its fast-growing Assurance business.

Looking ahead, Intertek is expected to report a rise in earnings of 9% next year. This suggests that its strategy is sound, and that it is capitalising on what is a $250bn global quality assurance industry, which the company believes has attractive structural growth prospects.

However, with the stock having a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24 despite its market value having fallen by 22% in the last four months, it appears to lack a margin of safety at the present time. As such, there may be better opportunities available elsewhere in the FTSE 350.

Sound strategy

One such opportunity could be Tullow Oil. Although the company’s shares may remain volatile in the near term, they seem to offer capital growth prospects in the long run. Following its decline, the stock now has a P/E ratio of around 9 when using the current year’s forecast earnings figure. And with the stock’s bottom line due to rise by 11% next year, it could offer turnaround potential.

Alongside this, the strategy being pursued by the business may prove to be sound. It is aiming to reduce debt levels over the medium term, and this may create a stronger entity that is better able to cope with the volatility of the oil and gas industry. And with it continuing to invest in its exploration activities, its long-term growth appeal may remain impressive.

While the oil price may decline further amidst a period of heightened uncertainty for investors, Tullow Oil appears to have a wide margin of safety and the potential to deliver improving levels of profitability. Although it may not be of interest to more risk-averse investors, its risk/reward ratio could become increasingly appealing in my opinion.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Intertek. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.
Investing Articles

Should I dump my holding in Fundsmith and buy an S&P 500 tracker instead?

Fundsmith's underperformed because of its lack of exposure to Big Tech. Could an S&P 500 tracker fund be the solution…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This penny stock’s up 172% in a year!

This gold-mining penny stock's on track to double its production capacity by 2026, sending the price flying! But is this…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is the stock market overvalued right now?

With the stock market enjoying double-digit returns, investors are getting worried that valuations are too high, but are these concerns…

Read more »

Mature black couple enjoying shopping together in UK high street
Investing Articles

If I’d put £5,000 in Greggs shares just 2 months ago, here’s what I’d have now

Greggs shares have suffered a double-digit decline since September, tempting this Fool to add to his position in the UK's…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s a simple 5-stock passive income portfolio with an 8.7% yield

With these five UK dividend shares, investors could start earning a £435 passive income each year from a £5,000 investment.…

Read more »

Businesswoman analyses profitability of working company with digital virtual screen
Investing Articles

How high can the Rolls-Royce share price go? Let’s ask the experts

What do analysts' forecasts say about the outlook for the Rolls-Royce share price? Right now, price targets cover a very…

Read more »

Investing Articles

4 things that could sink Lloyds’ share price in 2025!

Lloyds' share price has risen by double-digit percentages in 2024. But the bank's outlook remains highly uncertain, says Royston Wild.

Read more »

Smart young brown businesswoman working from home on a laptop
Investing Articles

Here’s the dividend forecast for Rio Tinto shares through to 2026

Rio Tinto's been regularly cutting dividends on its shares due to falling profits. What can investors expect now as China's…

Read more »