Should I buy this tech services stock after 30% crash?

Is this 30% share price fall a ‘fill your boots’ opportunity or a falling knife to avoid?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Redcentric (LSE: RCN) shareholders will have woken up to a shock this morning. They saw more than 30% lopped off the value of their investments in early trading, after disappointing first-half results led to the ousting of its chief executive.

Chairman Chris Cole, speaking of the departure of CEO Chris Jagusz, said: “The results announcement today, whilst showing Redcentric’s resilience, does not demonstrate progress with regard to sales, delivery and execution. The Board has therefore decided that Redcentric’s growth ambitions would be better served with a change of leadership.”

The figures themselves show the IT service management business’s revenue falling by 7.6%, with adjusted EBITDA down 11%, and adjusted EPS slashed by 23.5%.

But it wasn’t all bad. The resumption of the firm’s dividend provided a bit of a sugar coating to the bitter pill — although the interim 0.4p per share, if doubled for the full year, would only yield 1.3%. 

Debt down

Net debt was reduced, by 32% to £22.6m, which is approximately 1.4 times annualised EBITDA (based on the first-half value). I can’t help thinking it would have been better to wait until it was reduced further before putting dividends back in the table — especially as the first six months will have dented confidence in the rest of the year’s performance.

Cole did say that “Redcentric has made strong progress with its programme of driving operational efficiencies, cost control and cash discipline,” and that the firm has taken action to remedy these first-half failures. Maybe we’ve just seen a one-off weak period, but I’d want to see how the full-year goes before I’d consider buying.

Dividend growth?

Housing services firm Mitie (LSE: MTO) is one I’ve been cautious over for a while, and I’ve been looking at it again after Thursday’s first-half figures. What I’m particularly looking for is support for the company’s forecast return to progressive dividends after tough trading led to them being slashed. I think I still need a bit more convincing.

A 4% rise in revenue from continuing operations to £1,041m was welcome, although a 4.2% fall in operating profit (before exceptionals) to £38.4m took some of the shine off that.

A £255m fall in Mitie’s secured order book was also disappointing. The firm did report a “significant increase in pipeline,” but I’ll remain cautious of putting too much confidence in that until I see further conversion to committed orders.

Not yet

The dividend was held at 1.33p per share, as per policy, but the statement that “we expect to hold the dividend flat at least until the completion of the transformation programme” might disappoint potential investors. Analysts were only suggesting a 2.5% lift for the full year, but it sounds like that’s on hold now.

Mitie has been making judicious disposals and is focusing on its core strengths and cost efficiency, with chief executive Phil Bentley saying: “We see improving prospects for growth ahead of us.”

The shares are on a very low forward P/E of 8.5 for the full year, but net debt of £186.7m takes the edge off that a bit. Mitie could well be a recovery bargain now, but in today’s tough market I’d need firmer evidence.

Alan Oscroft has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

What next for Aviva shares after a cracking set of 2025 results?

Aviva achieving its 2026 financial goals a year ahead of schedule has got to be good for the shares... oh,…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

Should I buy stocks or look to conserve cash right now?

In a market dealing with AI uncertainty and conflict in the Middle East, should investors be looking for stocks to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how many British American Tobacco shares it takes to earn a £1,000 monthly second income

Is an AI-resistant business with a 5.38% dividend yield a good choice for investors looking for a second income in…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

1,001 Barclays shares bought 12 months ago are now worth…

Barclays shares have delivered excellent returns over the last year. But can the FTSE 100 bank keep outperforming? Royston Wild…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Get started on the stock market: 3 ‘safe’ shares for beginner UK investors to consider

Kicking off an investment portfolio on the stock market may seem like a scary prospect. Mark Hartley details a few…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

2 spectacular growth stocks to consider buying in March

Investors ignore the risks with growth stocks when things are going well. But when this changes, fixating on the dangers…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

Why is the FTSE 100 suddenly beating the S&P 500?

The UK's blue-chip index has been on fire over the past couple of years, helping it catch up to the…

Read more »

Artillery rocket system aimed to the sky and soldiers at sunset.
Investing Articles

This non-oil FTSE stock’s risen 4.6% in 3 days. What’s going on?

Against the backdrop of trouble in the Middle East, James Beard investigates why this FTSE 100 stock’s doing so well.…

Read more »