Could the Tesco share price help you retire early despite the rising State Pension age?

If you don’t want to work until you drop, you have to invest in shares, says Harvey Jones. Is Tesco plc (LON:TSCO) worth your attention?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The state pension age is now 65 for men and women and is set to hit 66 by 2020, then continue rising . You can boost your hopes of a comfortable retirement by investing in top UK growth and income stocks. Should you consider these two?

Simply Majestic

These are tough times for every retailer, whether £20bn FTSE 100-listed grocery giant Tesco (LSE: TSCO) or £238m vino specialist Majestic Wine (LSE: WINE). Majestic is down almost 13% as its half-year results showed a reported loss before tax of £200,000, against a profit of £3.1m last time.

Group CEO Rowan Gormley put it bluntly: We’re doing well in a tough market.” He said Majestic set out a plan in April and is delivering on it. “That plan was to accelerate growth by investing in new customers and, so far, the plan is on track.” 

Lack of sparkle

Today’s figures showed group revenue up 5.4%, boosted by its previously announced investment plan, while underlying growth at its Naked Wines operation accelerated from 11.6% to 14% year-on-year. However, this is costing money with new customer investment in Naked up £3m to £7.9m. As Gormley put it: “We’ve been investing more, and as a result profits are down.”

He said the group is on track to meet its £500m full-year sales target while warning the market is tough. Anticipated growth this year now looks likely to be “flat at best”, hence the share price rout.

Wine and dine

I like Gormley’s straight talk. We were planning for tough times and we’re investing through tough times because we know that’s the route to a more profitable future,” he said. I also like that its business is now almost 45% online and more than 20% international, but I can’t raise a glass to its pricey forecast valuation of 24.5 times earnings, which has been a worry for some time.

Majestic is down 35% over five years but Tesco is down a heftier 41%, despite CEO Dave Lewis’s impressive overhaul, including the £4bn purchase of wholesaler Booker Group, which already appears to be bearing fruit. Like all the big supermarkets, it is under huge pressure from German discounters, and there is little sign of that easing in any way, as Aldi and Lidl now have a 13.1% share of the market between them.

Tesco to go

Tesco is still more than twice their size at 27.5%, according to Kantar Worldpanel, although is continuing its slow slide since it dipped below 30% in January 2012. Tesco has done well to hold on to what it’s got, but investors have not reaped the benefit. I am wary of a business with group operating margins of just 2.94%, although it recently declared itself on track to achieve its ambition of 3.5%-4% by 2019/20.

Earnings per share growth forecasts look promising, at 17% and 20% over the next two years, while its valuation is a reasonable 14.5 times forward earnings. The dividend is in recovery and investors now get a forward yield of 2.5%, covered 2.7 times, giving scope for future progression. Analysts are predicting a 3.6% yield by 2020. 

However, my colleague Royston Wild expects that Tesco’s share price will keep sliding and I also think there are better options for your pension.

harveyj has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Tesco. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Diageo shares 1 month ago is now worth…

Diageo shares have dipped below £14 recently, taking the one-year fall to 31%. So why has one leading broker turned…

Read more »

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Investing Articles

Elon Musk could give Scottish Mortgage shares a huge boost!

Dr James Fox explains why Scottish Mortgage shares could benefit massively as Elon Musk looks to take SpaceX public later…

Read more »

Investing Articles

As Rolls-Royce and Babcock rocket, has the BAE Systems share price finally run out of juice?

Harvey Jones is astonised at recent sluggish performance of the BAE Systems share price and wonders if there is better…

Read more »

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

Down 31% and with a P/E of 8.8, is this FTSE 100 share too cheap to ignore?

Berkeley's share price has collapsed to its cheapest in roughly 10 years. Is the FTSE share now too cheap to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

10 dirt-cheap shares to consider after the correction

Investors keen to contribute to their ISA allowance before Sunday's deadline have a brilliant opportunity to buy cheap shares due…

Read more »

UK supporters with flag
Investing Articles

Why I think this super-cheap growth stock will lead the charge when the FTSE 100 recovers

Harvey Jones is seriously excited by this FTSE 100 growth stock but he also cautions that it can be very…

Read more »

Hydrogen testing at DLR Cologne
Investing Articles

Rolls-Royce’s share price is rallying again! But for how long?

Rolls-Royce's share price is the FTSE 100's best performer at the start of the new month. The question is, can…

Read more »

Lady taking a bottle of Hellmann's Real Mayonnaise from a supermarket shelf
Investing Articles

Value investors: Unilever shares are down 7% in a day!

Has the stock market’s reaction to Unilever’s deal to sell its food businesses left the reamining company as an undervalued…

Read more »