Why I’d buy and hold the AstraZeneca share price for the next 20 years

Rupert Hargreaves outlines why he believes AstraZeneca plc (LON: AZN) could help you retire early.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

AstraZeneca (LSE: AZN) knows a thing or two about the pharmaceutical business. Indeed, the company is one of the largest drug researchers and manufacturers in the world, with a market capitalisation of £71bn at the time of writing.

I believe this company has considerable investment appeal. A string of new products have hit the market over the past 12 months, and there’s plenty more to come. These launches should push earnings higher at a steady clip, and support dividend growth.

The company is already one of the most attractive dividend stocks in the FTSE 100. I believe its dividend credentials will only improve over the coming years as sales growth filters through to the bottom line.

Investments paying off

It only takes a quick look at City forecasts to see that analysts are expecting Astra’s growth to take off. For 2018, they’ve pencilled in an earnings per share (EPS) increase of 55%. This is followed by a projected expansion of 14% in 2019.

These numbers are impressive, but are they too good to be true?

I reckon the figures might actually be understating Astra’s potential. Over the past five years, the company has pulled itself through a transition period. As revenue has tailed off from blockbuster legacy products, management has prioritised the development of new treatments, particularly in the field of cancer treatment, or oncology. 

The focus on these products means Astra has become somewhat of a global leader in the oncology space, and while it’s still early days for this sector of the healthcare market, the long term revenue opportunity here is bigger than anything that has come before.

New products 

Today, Astra announced that it’s moving along with the development of yet another game-changing treatment, Lynparza. 

Designed to help treat pancreatic cancer, the US Food and Drug Administration has awarded the treatment orphan drug status, a label given to medicines intended to treat disorders affecting fewer than 200,000 people. The designation is designed to streamline the approvals process for such orphan drugs. Lynparza’s effectiveness is currently being tested in a phase III trial, the results of which are expected in the first half of 2019.

Lynparza is just one of several oncology treatments that Astra is working on, some of which analysts believe could generate several billion dollars in sales per annum for the company.

Because Astra has the exclusive manufacturing rights for these treatments when they hit the market, they’ll give the firm a predictable, steady income stream for many years to come.

With this being the case, I don’t view the stock’s current valuation of 21.7 times forward earnings as prohibitive. I’d happily pay this multiple today considering the company’s position at the cutting edge of cancer research and treatment, as well as its long-term growth and income potential.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended AstraZeneca. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Rolls-Royce's Pearl 10X engine series
Investing Articles

Are the glory days over for Rolls-Royce shares?

Rolls-Royce shares have soared in recent years. Lately, though, they have taken a tumble. Could there be worse still to…

Read more »

Group of friends meet up in a pub
Investing Articles

Are ‘66% off’ Diageo shares a once-in-a-decade opportunity?

Diageo shares have taken another hit in the early weeks of 2026. Are we looking at a massive bargain or…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Meet the UK stock under £1.50 smashing Rolls-Royce shares over the past year

While Rolls-Royce shares get all the attention, this under-the-radar trust has quietly made investors a fortune. But is it still…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

Down 19%, the red lights are flashing for Barclays shares!

Barclays shares have fallen almost a fifth in value as the Middle East war has intensified. Royston Wild argues that…

Read more »

Aviva logo on glass meeting room door
Investing Articles

After falling another 5%, are Aviva shares too cheap to ignore?

£10,000 invested in Aviva shares five years ago would have grown 50% by now. But what might the future hold,…

Read more »

Two female adult friends walking through the city streets at Christmas. They are talking and smiling as they do some Christmas shopping.
Investing Articles

Next impresses again, but could its shares be about to crash?

Next shares have leapt after the retailer raised its full-year profits guidance. But could the FTSE 100 retailer be running…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Time to buy, after Next shares are lifted by storming FY results?

Retail sector weakness is holding back Next shares, is it? Tell that to the fashion shoppers who've driven up full-year…

Read more »

Three signposts pointing in different directions, with 'Buy' 'Sell' and 'Hold' on
Growth Shares

Why the Barclays share price is currently its most undervalued in months

Jon Smith talks through why the Barclays share price has struggled in recent weeks, and flags up reasons why it…

Read more »