Here’s why the Petrofac share price could be set to storm back against the FTSE 100

Petrofac Limited (LON: PFC) could have a bright future that allows it to beat the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The outlook for the resources sector continues to be relatively positive. World economic growth has been strong in recent quarters, with the US and China both delivering impressive performance. And while a stronger dollar may reduce demand for resources to some degree, buoyant commodity prices such as the oil price have caused valuations across the sector to generally improve.

One company, though, which has struggled in recent years versus the FTSE 100 is Petrofac (LSE: PFC). The support services company’s shares have increased in value recently, but still lag the wider index in the last five years. Here’s why that could be about to change.

Low valuation

While Petrofac has recorded a rise in its share price in recent months, it is still down by over 50% in the last five years. Some of this disappointing performance is down to difficulties in the energy sector during that time, while the SFO investigation has also caused investor sentiment to remain downbeat. However, the company has enjoyed improved performance regarding contract wins, and this could help to stabilise its bottom line over the long run.

Still, the company continues to face a disappointing near-term outlook. In the current year its bottom line is expected to fall by 18%, followed by a further decline of 6% next year. However, investors seem to have factored-in its uncertain outlook, with its shares trading on a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 10 at the present time. As such, and while it has endured a difficult period, the risk/reward ratio for the stock could be appealing from a long-term investment perspective. This could help it to beat the FTSE 100 in the coming years.

Margin of safety

Also offering a wide margin of safety in the resources industry is Kenmare Resources (LSE: KMR). The producer of titanium minerals and zircon released positive half-year results for the six months to 30 June on Monday.

They showed that the company was able to ship 589,200 tonnes of finished products during the period. This was up 10% on the figure from the same period of last year. This helped to push revenue higher by 37% to $140.1m, with higher prices also acting as a catalyst. EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) increased by 59% to $47.5m, with net debt falling to $9.3m from $34.1m at the end of 2017.

Looking ahead, Kenmare is forecast to post a rise in earnings of 26% in the next financial year. Despite its positive recent performance and its upbeat growth outlook, it has a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of just 0.2, which suggests that it could offer a wide margin of safety. Certainly, its share price may be volatile. But with a low valuation and what seems to be a sound strategy, its long-term share price growth potential seems to be high. As such, now could be a good time to buy it.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Petrofac. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

After it crashed 25%, should I buy this former stock market darling in my Stocks and Shares ISA?

Harvey Jones has a big hole in his Stocks and Shares ISA that he is keen to fill. Should he…

Read more »

happy senior couple using a laptop in their living room to look at their financial budgets
Investing Articles

How’s the dividend forecast looking for Legal & General shares in 2025 and beyond?

As a shareholder, I like to keep track of the potential dividend returns I could make from my Legal &…

Read more »

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Investing Articles

Could buying this stock with a $7bn market cap be like investing in Nvidia in 2010?

Where might the next Nvidia-type stock be lurking in today's market? Our writer takes a look at one candidate with…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is GSK a bargain now the share price is near 1,333p?

Biopharma company GSK looks like a decent stock to consider for the long term, so is today's lower share price…

Read more »

Snowing on Jubilee Gardens in London at dusk
Investing Articles

Could December be a great month to buy UK shares?

Christopher Ruane sees some possible reasons to look for shares to buy in December -- but he'll be using the…

Read more »

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

Sticking to FTSE shares, I’d still aim for a £1,000 monthly passive income like this!

By investing in blue-chip FTSE shares with proven business models, our writer hopes he can build sizeable passive income streams…

Read more »

Growth Shares

BT shares? I think there are much better UK stocks for the long term

Over the long term, many UK stocks have performed much better than BT. Here’s a look at two companies that…

Read more »

British Pennies on a Pound Note
Investing Articles

After a 540% rise, could this penny share keep going?

This penny share has seen mixed fortunes in recent years. Our writer looks ahead to some potentially exciting developments in…

Read more »