Marks & Spencer: How safe is the dividend?

How long can Marks and Spencer Group plc (LON: MKS) continue to afford its 6.2% dividend yield?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

With a dividend yield of around 6.2%, Marks & Spencer (LSE: MKS) is among the highest yielding stocks in the FTSE 100. But before jumping on board with that eye-catching yield, there are a few things investors need to know about the company.

Challenging market conditions

The high street is going though a difficult period amid a squeeze on incomes and the shift to online shopping, and M&S is no exception to the trend. Adjusted pre-tax profits fell for the second consecutive year to £580.9m, the company reported on Wednesday, as a fall in sales and higher costs squeezed earnings.

The company has been restructuring itself for some time now, but its efforts have been criticised as inadequate, particularly with respect to store closures and growing its online presence. It now says that over 100 stores will close within the next five years, up from its earlier target of 60 stores, but analysts warn that this may still not be enough to adapt to the rise of online shopping.

And amid challenging market conditions in the retail sector, there’s every reason to expect that more difficult times lie ahead for the company. Restructuring is a costly task, and already the costs are mounting. Exceptional costs climbed to £514.1m in the latest year, up from £437.4m in 2016/7, which meant pre-tax profits fell by 62%, to just £66.9m, once adjusted items were included.

Free cash flow

All-in-all the picture painted above doesn’t exactly give investors much confidence about the long-term sustainability of its dividends. However, a dividend cut isn’t imminent either, as the cash coming into the business still comfortably covers shareholder payouts.

Even after taking account of adjusting items, M&S generated £417.5m in free cash flow for the 12 months to 31 March. This enabled the company to cover cash dividends paid over the past year by a little less than 1.38 times, and meant it had £114.1m left over after shareholder payouts.

Still, the longer-term uncertainty remains. Without a successful turnaround in its financial performance, it cannot sustain the current level of dividend payouts indefinitely.

Digital capability

Meanwhile, rival retailer Next (LSE: NXT) seems to be in better shape. Its online business is growing at an impressive pace — up 18.1% in the first quarter, and it recently raised expectations for its full-year underlying pre-tax profits from £705m to £717m.

Among the high street clothing chains, Next has one of the biggest online operations, with just under half of all its sales coming from online customers. This puts the company in a competitive advantage against its high street rivals, as its superior digital capability means it is better placed to capture more of the fast-growing online market.

Profits still falling

Despite strong online growth, profits will likely still come under pressure from falling in-store sales and shrinking margins. With retail profitability increasingly under the microscope, Next will need to show it has a tight control on costs.

Even after an increase in its forecast for the full year, pre-tax profits are expected to decline for at least another year. This combined with a rise in capital spending means the company will probably not be paying a special dividend this year. And as such, investors can only look forward to an ordinary dividend of 158p, giving its shares a yield of 2.7%.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Jack Tang has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

Trading around an 11-year high, is Tesco’s share price still significantly undervalued?

Although Tesco’s share price has risen a lot in the past few years, it could still have significant value left…

Read more »

Passive income text with pin graph chart on business table
Investing Articles

£11,000 in savings? Investors could consider targeting £5,979 a year of passive income with this FTSE 250 high-yield gem!

This FTSE 250 firm currently delivers a yield of more than double the index’s average, which could generate very sizeable…

Read more »

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

Does a 9.7% yield and a P/E under 10 make the Legal & General share price a no-brainer?

With a very high dividend yield and a falling P/E forecast, could the Legal & General share price really be…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

This growth stock is up 2,564% over 6 months! Is this FOMO?

This growth stock has experienced an incredible appreciation in its share price. It’s not a meme stock, but investors might…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This bank’s dividend yield will grow to 6.9% in 2026! And analysts say its undervalued

Analysts say this FTSE 100 stock’s dividend yield will continue to rise over the medium term. With the stock also…

Read more »

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.
Investing Articles

Can we justify the red-hot Tesla share price?

It might just be FOMO, but the Tesla share price is going from strength to strength. Dr James Fox takes…

Read more »

Investing Articles

UK stocks are 52% discounted, says Goldman Sachs

With UK stocks staggeringly cheap right now, this Fool took the chance to add one unloved FTSE 100 share to…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Up 107% in 2024, can this FTSE 250 star keep soaring?

Christopher Ruane looks at a FTSE 250 share that has more than doubled in price so far in 2024 and…

Read more »