Why the Standard Life Aberdeen share price could smash the FTSE 100 this year

The prospects for Standard Life Aberdeen plc (LON: SLA) appear to be more positive than those of the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Having fallen by 14% since the start of the year, 2018 has not been a successful year for Standard Life Aberdeen (LSE: SLA) thus far. The company has experienced major disappointment through the loss of a large client, with investors seemingly becoming less certain about the merged entity’s future prospects.

Now though, the company seems to offer good value for money. Alongside its dividend growth potential, there seem to be clear catalysts to push its share price higher and allow it to outperform the FTSE 100. As such, it could be worth buying ahead of a number of shares that appear to be overvalued, such as one company that released results on Tuesday.

Positive outlook

The Standard Life Aberdeen share price has been hit hard by the loss of Lloyds as a customer. It announced a few months ago that it was ending the contract where around £109bn was managed by Standard Life Aberdeen. This is the company’s biggest contract and while it had been discussed as a potential risk following the merger (since Lloyds had the right to end the agreement in the instance of a merger), it was seen as unlikely by many investors.

The result of the loss of the contract was a major fall in the company’s share price which accounts for the majority of its decline since the start of the year. However, with a positive outlook for the global economy and world stock markets, demand for the company’s services could remain high. Investor sentiment has been positive in recent weeks, and this could help to improve its financial performance over the medium term.

Dividend potential

With Standard Life Aberdeen expected to grow its dividends per share by 6.6% per annum over the next two years, it seems to offer a solid income outlook. This could put it on a dividend yield of 6.7% in 2019, which could have significant appeal to a wide range of income investors. It may also signify that it offers good value for money at a time when the FTSE 100’s yield is 3.9%.

Of course, it’s not the only FTSE 100 stock with high dividend growth potential. Reporting on Tuesday was sales, marketing and support services company DCC (LSE: DCC). It also has a solid income outlook, but may now be overvalued after its 8% share price rise in the last month.

Margin of safety

DCC’s annual results showed that the company has been able to deliver strong performance across all of its divisions. Its total revenue increased by 12.6%, while adjusted operating profit moved 11.1% higher to £383.4m.

It completed acquisitions across all of its divisions, with £670m spent on M&A activity, which is the highest level of spend in its history. And with it having a successful track record of integrating new businesses, its strategy of expanding geographically through acquisition seems to be sound.

With DCC forecast to post a rise in dividends per share of 13.4% per year over the next two financial years, it is set to yield 2% in 2019 and could become increasingly attractive from an income perspective over the medium term. However, with it trading on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 21 and forecast to post earnings growth of 5% next year, it may be overvalued.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Lloyds Banking Group and Standard Life Aberdeen. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group and Standard Life Aberdeen. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Surely, the Rolls-Royce share price can’t go any higher in 2025?

The Rolls-Royce share price was the best performer on the FTSE 100 in 2023 and so far in 2024. Dr…

Read more »

A young woman sitting on a couch looking at a book in a quiet library space.
Investing Articles

Here’s how an investor could start buying shares with £100 in January

Our writer explains some of the things he thinks investors on a limited budget should consider before they start buying…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Forget FTSE 100 airlines! I think shares in this company offer better value to consider

Stephen Wright thinks value investors looking for shares to buy should include aircraft leasing company Aercap. But is now the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Are Rolls-Royce shares undervalued heading into 2025?

As the new year approaches, Rolls-Royce shares are the top holding of a US fund recommended by Warren Buffett. But…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£20k in a high-interest savings account? It could be earning more passive income in stocks

Millions of us want a passive income, but a high-interest savings account might not be the best way to do…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 tried and tested ways to earn passive income in 2025

Our writer examines the latest market trends and economic forecasts to uncover three great ways to earn passive income in…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s what £10k invested in the FTSE 100 at the start of 2024 would be worth today

Last week's dip gives the wrong impression of the FTSE 100, which has had a pretty solid year once dividends…

Read more »

Investing Articles

UK REITs: a once-in-a-decade passive income opportunity?

As dividend yields hit 10-year highs, Stephen Wright thinks real estate investment trusts could be a great place to consider…

Read more »