Why Aviva plc could be the Footsie buy of the decade

With growth prospects hotting up, Aviva plc (LON: AV) could be seriously undervalued today.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Of all the stocks in the FTSE 100, I believe Aviva (LSE: AV) could be one of the best companies to own for the next decade, a view supported by today’s results from the group. 

For the year to the end of December, the value of new business booked by the insurance giant expanded 25% to £1.2bn, thanks to the strong demand for insurance products and asset management services. Total assets under management grew by 9% during the year to £490bn, making the firm one of the largest asset managers in the UK.

Meanwhile, the total value of net written insurance premiums rose 11% to £9.1bn, and operating profit grew 2%, or by 6% in its eight major markets, excluding discontinued operations. Earnings per share increased 7% to 54.8p. 

Simpler, stronger group

These results show that Aviva is now finally back on track after its near-death experience in the 2011 eurozone debt crisis. According to management, today Aviva is now a “simpler, stronger group” that is seeing growth across the board, particularly in the UK which has “gone from strength to strength, growing sales, market share and profit.” Six of the company’s other eight major markets also delivered a “double-digit profit improvement” in 2017. 

What’s more, Aviva’s focus on simplicity and cash generation means that the firm is now cash rich. Management is planning to deploy £2bn of excess funds to investors this year “including £900m in debt reduction, in excess of £500m of capital returns to shareholders, and about £600m for bolt-on acquisitions.” The group’s 2017 full-year dividend payout has also been hiked by 18% to 27.4p, up from 2016’s level of 23.3p, giving a current dividend yield of 5.5%

Set for growth 

Looking at the numbers above, what I’m excited about is the outlook for Aviva if it continues to grow at its current rate. There’s no reason why it can’t achieve this. The demand for pension products is growing and so is the need for wealth management advice. 

According to a recent report on the state of the UK pensions market, it was worth £10.8bn annual premium equivalent (APE) in 2016 and is forecast to reach £17.5bn APE by 2021, implying a double-digit annual increase in pensions demand for the next five years. As one of the largest related providers in the UK, Aviva should be able to grab a large chunk of this new business. 

This potential growth, as well as the company’s current dividend payout, which is almost certain to increase in the years ahead as earnings grow further, is enough to convince me that the group is one of the best investments to own for the next decade. And right now, the shares are on sale despite today’s upbeat results release. Based on 2017’s earnings figure, shares in Aviva are trading at a P/E of just 9, significantly below the market average of 14.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Tesco shares 5 years ago is now worth this much…

Tesco share price growth has been just part of the total profit picture, but can our biggest supermarket handle the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s why I’m bullish on the FTSE 100 for 2026

There's every chance the FTSE 100 will set new record highs next year. In this article, our Foolish author takes…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Growth Shares

UK interest rates fall again! Here’s why the Barclays share price could struggle

Jon Smith explains why the Bank of England's latest move today could spell trouble for the Barclays share price over…

Read more »

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

2 out-of-favour FTSE 250 stocks set for a potential turnaround in 2026

These famous retail stocks from the FTSE 250 index have crashed in 2025. Here's why 2026 might turn out to…

Read more »

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

Down over 30% this year, could these 3 UK shares bounce back in 2026?

Christopher Ruane digs into a trio of UK shares that have performed poorly this year in search of possible bargains…

Read more »

Mature people enjoying time together during road trip
Investing Articles

Yields up to 8.5%! Should I buy even more Legal & General, M&G and Phoenix shares?

Harvey Jones is getting a brilliant rate of dividend income from his Phoenix shares, and a surprising amount of capital…

Read more »

Light trails from traffic moving down The Mound in central Edinburgh, Scotland during December
Investing Articles

Up 7.5% in a week but with P/Es below 8! Are JD Sports Fashion and easyJet shares ready to take off?

easyJet shares have laboured in 2025, but suddenly they're flying. The same goes for JD Sports Fashion. Both still look…

Read more »

US Stock

I think this could be the best no-brainer S&P 500 purchase to consider for 2026

Jon Smith reveals a stock from the S&P 500 that he feels has the biggest potential to outperform the index,…

Read more »