Why I’d sell Barclays plc to buy this hidden banking stock

Barclays plc (LON: BARC) looks undervalued but this firm has better prospects.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Barclays (LSE: BARC) just can’t seem to do anything right. Even 10 years after the financial crisis the bank is still being reprimanded by regulators, holding back its overall recovery.

The latest attack involves its emergency fundraising in the financial crisis. In 2008, Barclays took a £12bn loan from Qatar to avoid it seeking a UK government bailout. As part of this deal, the bank lent £2.3bn to Qatar Holdings, which the Serious Fraud Office claims was a special favour to help Qatar stump up the bailout cash — against the law if true. 

The SFO has already charged Barclays plc (the group holding company) and four executives with conspiracy to commit fraud, but now it is going after Barclays Bank, the operating company. If found guilty, it could mean that the entire group is stripped of its operating banking licence. While I believe that it is unlikely the SFO will shut down one of the UK’s largest companies, this is just the latest example of the bank’s continual struggle to recover from the financial crisis. That being said, the group has made enormous progress over the past 10 years streamlining its operations and disposing of non-core, as well as toxic assets. 

However, despite these actions, due to caution surrounding the group’s outlook, the shares still trade at a near to 40% discount tangible book value and a forward P/E of less than 10. But while this valuation might look attractive, I believe that BGEO (LSE: BGEO), the holding company of the JSC Bank of Georgia is a much better buy. 

Accelerating growth 

BGEO offers both an attractive valuation and explosive growth in a country that’s experiencing rapid economic growth as well as a rising demand for loans, wealth management products and insurance. 

Georgia’s economy grew at 4.8% in 2017, faster than all of the developed markets and this helped the Bank of Georgia grow its loan book by 17.4% on a constant currency basis and expand profit by 49.8% for the fourth quarter. Overall, profit for the full year increased by 8.1% and revenue expanded by 23.7% thanks to healthy growth across all of the company’s business divisions. 

The one warning sign in the results is an equity Tier 1 capital ratio of only 8.1%. For comparison, Barclays’ Tier 1 capital ratio was 13.1% of the end of September 2017, although the group does have to hold slightly more capital due to its size and position in the global banking system. Still, BGEO’s management is targeting an improvement in the capital cushion to 9.5% by the end of this year, which should offset some concerns about capital adequacy.

To help unlock more value for shareholders, management is planning to split the business into two separate entities, one focused on banking and one focused on investment management. 

A bright outlook

As well as BGEO’s rapid earnings and profit growth, like Barclays, shares in the bank look cheap today. The stock is currently trading at a forward P/E of 8.5, which seems to undervalue this business, growing earnings per share as a double-digit rate. Also, my Foolish colleague Peter Stephens believes that the market is overlooking BGEO’s dividend potential

All in all, while BGEO might not have the global presence of Barclays, it is growing faster looks undervalued and should continue to register steady growth thanks to its leading position in one of Europe’s fastest-growing emerging economies.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Barclays. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young black woman using a mobile phone in a transport facility
Investing For Beginners

Down 34% in a month, is this FTSE 100 stock going to be demoted?

Jon Smith flags a FTSE 100 company with a recent poor performance he believes could see it soon drop out…

Read more »

British union jack flag and Parliament house at city of Westminster in the background
Investing Articles

Is the Diageo share price set to make a stellar comeback in 2025?

Harvey Jones thought the Diageo share price looked good value when he bought it after last year's profit warning, but…

Read more »

Investing For Beginners

It’s down 50%. Would it be madness for me to buy this value stock?

Jon Smith notes down a household value stock in the FTSE 250 that he thinks can rally in the long…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

Up 70% and 80%! I’m thrilled I bought these two red-hot UK stocks exactly 1 year ago

Harvey Jones bought two UK stocks at the end of November last year, and both have smashed the market in…

Read more »

Investing For Beginners

Consider filling an empty Stocks and Shares ISA like this to hit five figures of second income

Jon Smith outlines how he could use stocks with both income and growth prospects to grow a Stocks and Shares…

Read more »

Investing Articles

These FTSE 100 shares could soar over the next year

FTSE 100 shares show strong potential as rate cuts loom. History shows stocks could gain more than 70% in the…

Read more »

Young Black woman using a debit card at an ATM to withdraw money
Investing Articles

“If I’d put £5,000 into Santander shares just 2 years ago, here’s what I’d have now”

Our writer considers whether he thinks Santander shares still look good value after a strong period for the global Spanish…

Read more »

Illustration of flames over a black background
Investing Articles

Could this FTSE 250 stock be the next Rolls-Royce?

With an ongoing probe into the motor finance industry, the share price of this member of the FTSE 250 has…

Read more »