Why I’d avoid trying to catch this falling knife after today’s 15% slump

It looks as if this company’s problems cannot be fixed.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Troubled Israeli tech company Telit Communications (LSE: TCM) just can’t catch a break. In August, it was thrown into crisis when its CEO, Oozi Cats was reported to be a fugitive who had fled the US back in the early 1990s after being indicted for fraud. Shares in the firm dived on the news and have since struggled to recover. Year-to-date the stock has lost 41%. 

And today shares in Telit are falling once again after the company issued a profit warning and announced several key management changes. 

All change 

After the Cats saga, Telit has decided to shake up its management team. Interim CEO Yosi Fait will now become the group’s permanent leader and the former chairman of gambling group 888 Holdings, Richard Kilsby has been confirmed as the new non-executive chairman. Meanwhile, COO Yariv Dafna has been appointed as finance director. 

Telit’s new management is committed to “applying the highest standards of corporate governance and transparency across the group,” according to Kilsby, which should come as a relief to investors as it now looks as if the company is trying to draw a line under its disastrous past. 

Unfortunately, these positive board changes were accompanied by a profit warning from Telit. The company has already lowered expectations this year, cutting guidance in September due to tougher than expected trading. Full-year revenue guidance was slashed to between $390m and $400m and earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation to $44m to $48m. These figures were significantly below the EBITDA figure of $54.4m reported for 2016. 

Today the firm announced that it expects to report results for 2017 “materially” below this guidance thanks to pressure on gross profit margins as it transitions from mature technologies. 

Fallen angel 

Over the past few years, Telit captured investors’ imaginations as the company’s exposure to the fast-growing internet of things market (IoT) gave it enormous growth potential. Indeed, only a few months ago, analysts were expecting the company to report bottom line growth of 68% thanks to higher demand for its products. 

However, while some investors have been mesmerised by its explosive growth, analysts have expressed concern about the company’s cash generation or lack of it. 

For example, even though net income has risen from £4m in 2012 to £17m for 2016, over this period the company reported a net cash outflow of £18m. Debt and shareholder cash has filled the gap. Earlier this year, the firm raised £39m by way of a placing and since 2012 total debt has risen by a third. 

This is why I’m staying away from Telit. Even though the company’s net income has multiplied over the past five years, the group has struggled to generate a positive free cash flow. 

In business cash is king, and without cash, it’s only a matter of time before the company will have to raise new funds from investors. Overall, Telit’s new management might be committed to restoring the firm’s reputation, but until the group starts to generate cold hard cash, I’m happy to avoid it. 

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Businessman hand stacking up arrow on wooden block cubes
Investing Articles

Could Rolls-Royce shares double again in 2026?

Rolls-Royce shares are developing a curious habit of doubling in value inside a year. Could they pull it off once…

Read more »

Santa Clara offices of NVIDIA
Investing Articles

Could Greggs shares outperform Nvidia in the coming 5 years?

Comparing the performance of Greggs shares and Nvidia stock in recent years is night and day. But what might happen…

Read more »

Two female adult friends walking through the city streets at Christmas. They are talking and smiling as they do some Christmas shopping.
Investing Articles

2 insanely cheap shares to consider buying today

Harvey Jones loves going shopping for cheap shares and picks out two FTSE 100 stocks that are potentially undervalued despite…

Read more »

Businessman with tablet, waiting at the train station platform
Investing Articles

Retire early? I’ve just bought 2 new ‘moonshot’ growth stocks for my ISA

These growth stocks are extremely risky investments. However, taking a five-year view, Edward Sheldon sees enormous potential.

Read more »

Rear view image depicting a senior man in his 70s sitting on a bench leading down to the iconic Seven Sisters cliffs on the coastline of East Sussex, UK. The man is wearing casual clothing - blue denim jeans, a red checked shirt, navy blue gilet. The man is having a rest from hiking and his hiking pole is leaning up against the bench.
Investing Articles

How much should a 40-year old put into an empty SIPP to aim for a million by 60?

Over the next 20 years, someone could turn a SIPP with nothing in it today into a seven-figure retirement pot.…

Read more »

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

The 1 question everybody holding Rolls-Royce shares should ask themselves today

Every FTSE 100 investor is wondering where the Rolls-Royce share price goes next. But Harvey Jones highlights a different question…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

Match the State Pension through buying dividend shares? Here’s what that might cost

If the State Pension seems like it might not go far enough, some forward planning today could potentially help ease…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Check out the worrying Tesco share price forecast

Harvey Jones questions whether the Tesco share price can push higher from here. A quick look at broker predictions only…

Read more »