After a $790m rights issue, is Tullow Oil plc living on borrowed time?

Tullow Oil plc (LON: TLW) could be coming to the end of the road.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Tullow Oil (LSE: TLW) shocked the market at the end of last week. The company announced that it was undertaking a $790m rights issue in an attempt to shore up its balance sheet that’s been left in tatters after years of hefty capital spending and low oil prices. 

The rights issue announcement came from out of nowhere, but the capital raising wasn’t wholly unexpected. Tullow has been struggling since the price of oil plunged below $100 a barrel in 2014. So far, the company has managed to dodge any cash calls thanks to management’s quick reactions in slashing costs. However, as it turns out, these cost cuts have not been enough and now, with the price of oil once again on the back foot, it looks as if management is panicking. 

Cash crunch 

The sheer size of the rights issue says a lot about Tullow’s financial position. The cash call, which amounts to £607m, is being done at 130p, a 45% discount to the firm’s share price before the announcement. The issue is being done on a 25 for 49 basis, so for every 49 shares investors currently own they’ll be able to subscribe for an additional 25.

With a market value of only £1.8bn at time of writing, the cash raised from the issue will comprise nearly half of Tullow’s market value after the deal. Furthermore, the discount of 45% to Tullow’s prevailing share price shows how desperate the company is to win over investors.

Debt mountain 

Tullow is saddled with $4.8bn debt and is pulling all available levers to try and reduce this mountain. 

As well as the rights issue, Tullow announced it would reduce its stake in the Lake Albert oil project in Uganda earlier this year. The $900m deal is being struck to help the company finance the development of the project. Tullow also issued $300m in long-term bonds last year to reduce its dependence on bank lending. Management recently started discussions with its banks over refinancing a $3.3bn reserve-based lending facility. 

It looks as if Tullow is now in the same position that Premier Oil (LSE: PMO) was a few month ago. Premier’s management has always maintained that the company has the full support of its lenders, despite the fact that its debt refinancing was dragged out for more than six months. However, unlike Tullow, Premier hasn’t (yet) asked shareholders to help finance the business. The company successfully reached an agreement with its lenders last month, avoiding significant equity dilution. 

Running out of time

Premier’s £2.2bn debt mountain is a lot smaller than that of Tullow, but compared to the company’s size (market cap of £320m) it is relatively significant. 

So, the fact that lenders have been prepared to give Premier some leeway, while Tullow has been forced to ask for extra cash is concerning. The latter’s management is adamant that the rights issue was not pushed by lenders, but it’s difficult to believe that the issue was not in some way influenced by ongoing debt discussions. These actions lead me to believe that perhaps Tullow is in a tighter financial position than it is willing to admit. 

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

2 top growth stocks to consider for an ISA in April

The UK market is home to some fantastic under-the-radar growth stocks trading at very reasonable valuations. Here are two of…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Could thinking like Warren Buffett help create a market-beating ISA?

Christopher Ruane zooms in on some aspects of Warren Buffett's investing approach he thinks could help an ambitious ISA investor…

Read more »

British pound data
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in a FTSE 100 index tracker at the start of March is now worth…

Anyone who invested money in a FTSE 100 index tracker at the start of the month may wish to look…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

Should investors consider Rolls-Royce shares as war rocks global markets?

Investors who thought Rolls-Royce shares had grown too expensive might have second thoughts as Iran turmoil rattles the FTSE 100,…

Read more »

Young black woman walking in Central London for shopping
Investing Articles

Some lucky ISA investors could pick up £2,000 for free in the next month. Here’s how

The UK government is handing out free money to some ISA investors to help them save for retirement. Here’s a…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

Is this the best time to buy dividend shares since Covid-19?

A volatile stock market gives investors a chance to buy shares with unusually high dividend yields. Stephen Wright highlights one…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

Are we staring at a once-in-a-decade chance to buy this beaten-down UK growth stock?

Investors couldn't get enough of this FTSE 100 growth stock, but the last 10 years have been pretty frustrating. Could…

Read more »

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

What I look for when searching for shares to buy

There’s a lot that goes into finding shares to buy. Ultimately though, it comes down to two things: numbers that…

Read more »