This property stock could buck a recession

This company offers superb defensive qualities.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Manager and developer of student accommodation, Unite (LSE: UTG), has released a positive trading update today. It shows that demand for student accommodation remains high and is showing no sign of slowing down. With Unite having a sound business model and enviable operating environment, it could perform well in any economic conditions.

Unite’s occupancy rate for the current academic year is 98%, with the company recording average rental growth of 3.8% versus the prior year. The main reason for this strong rate of growth is that student numbers in the UK continue to increase. In the current academic year, overall student numbers have increased by around 40,000. Most of this rise is at mid-to-upper tariff universities, where Unite is focused.

Looking ahead, demand for education in the UK is unlikely to be impacted by a recession. In fact, if a recession hits due to Brexit then it could encourage more UK-based young people to attend university in order to delay seeking a job, and to also improve their job prospects in what could be a more competitive employment environment. Similarly, a weaker pound could encourage more foreign students to come to the UK since it will be cheaper, with the standard of education unlikely to be impacted by economic challenges.

As such, Unite faces a bright future even if the UK economy endures a difficult period. The company is expected to increase its bottom line by 13% in the current year and by a further 16% next year. This puts it on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of only 1.1, which indicates that capital gains are very much on the cards.

Furthermore, Unite remains a top-notch income play. As mentioned, its business is stable and relatively defensive, which makes the payment of its dividend likely compared to its index peers. And with dividends being covered 1.5 times by profit, there’s scope for them to rise at a faster pace than earnings over the medium term. This means that Unite’s current yield of 3% could move higher at a brisk pace.

Value for money

Of course, the property sector includes a number of attractive opportunities right now. Brexit has caused uncertainty within the industry and for long-term investors, now could be a good time to buy. One stock that offers excellent value for money is housebuilder Persimmon (LSE: PSN). It currently trades on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of only 8.6, which shows that it has a wide margin of safety. Not only does this equate to upward rerating potential, it also means that Persimmon’s share price may not fall heavily if house prices begin to slide.

Persimmon also has a yield of 6.6% from a dividend that’s covered 1.7 times by profit. This indicates that despite the potential for a dip in earnings, Persimmon’s dividend prospects remain healthy. However, because of Unite’s more obvious defensive characteristics, it has greater appeal than Persimmon given the uncertain outlook for the UK economy. Although both stocks could be sound long-term buys, Unite has the superior risk/reward ratio at the present time.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Surely, the Rolls-Royce share price can’t go any higher in 2025?

The Rolls-Royce share price was the best performer on the FTSE 100 in 2023 and so far in 2024. Dr…

Read more »

A young woman sitting on a couch looking at a book in a quiet library space.
Investing Articles

Here’s how an investor could start buying shares with £100 in January

Our writer explains some of the things he thinks investors on a limited budget should consider before they start buying…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Forget FTSE 100 airlines! I think shares in this company offer better value to consider

Stephen Wright thinks value investors looking for shares to buy should include aircraft leasing company Aercap. But is now the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Are Rolls-Royce shares undervalued heading into 2025?

As the new year approaches, Rolls-Royce shares are the top holding of a US fund recommended by Warren Buffett. But…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£20k in a high-interest savings account? It could be earning more passive income in stocks

Millions of us want a passive income, but a high-interest savings account might not be the best way to do…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 tried and tested ways to earn passive income in 2025

Our writer examines the latest market trends and economic forecasts to uncover three great ways to earn passive income in…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s what £10k invested in the FTSE 100 at the start of 2024 would be worth today

Last week's dip gives the wrong impression of the FTSE 100, which has had a pretty solid year once dividends…

Read more »

Investing Articles

UK REITs: a once-in-a-decade passive income opportunity?

As dividend yields hit 10-year highs, Stephen Wright thinks real estate investment trusts could be a great place to consider…

Read more »