BP plc And Rio Tinto plc – Two Fallen Giants Set For A Comeback

BP plc (LON: BP) and Rio Tinto plc (LON: RIO) are two fallen giants on the road to recovery.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Only a few years ago Rio Tinto (LSE: RIO) was the mining sector’s model company. Specialising in mining iron ore the company had the lowest production costs and highest profit margins of its peer group. Moreover, the company boasted a strong balance sheet and returned most of its profits to investors via dividends and the occasional share buyback. 

Similarly, BP (LSE: BP) was once the pride of the UK oil industry, with a world-beating oil trading arm, cash-rich balance sheet and the largest portfolio of renewable energy assets operating alongside the core hydrocarbon asset portfolio. 

However, during the past five years, Rio’s fall from grace has caught many investors, analysts and even the company’s management by surprise. And BP’s fortunes suddenly turned on that fateful day in 2010 in the Gulf of Mexico. 

Rebuilding reputations 

Both companies are now trying hard to restore their reputations and profitability. BP has put the majority of the Gulf of Mexico disaster behind it now, having agreed on a multi-billion dollar settlement with US authorities last year. And while the company is now facing another problem — the depressed price of oil — at least it can now focus its efforts on just this one main issue.

Rio is trying to grapple with low commodity prices, namely weak iron ore and coal prices. What’s more, after years of fruitless spending during the commodity boom, the company is suffering from a debt overhang and expensive glory projects are failing to live up to expectations.

Still, both BP and Rio have what it takes to stage a comeback, and they’re both already making solid progress.

Making progress 

Rio has slashed its dividend payout to investors and has abolished its progressive dividend policy, a sensible decision that will see the company paying more out to shareholders during periods of excess profit, and less when profits fall. This gives the company financial flexibility, room to pay down debt, and make select acquisitions.

Also, Rio continues to report the best profit margins in the industry, has slashed capital spending, and is cutting costs further to deal with the downturn. Not only will this strategy enable the company to remain profitable while times are hard, but when commodity prices recover the group will see an explosive recovery in profits.

Meanwhile, BP is aggressively cutting costs, selling assets and positioning itself for a protracted downturn. 

BP is already saving billions from a lower cost base. Controllable cash costs in 2015 were $3.4bn lower than in 2014 and are on track to be close to $7bn lower in 2017. Just like Rio, BP’s actions now will accelerate the company’s recovery when commodity prices improve. Indeed, according to City analysts Big Oil as a whole, which includes the likes of BP, will have cut the break-even cost of a barrel of oil from an average of $80/bbl in 2014 to less than $60/bbl in 2017.

BP has plenty of financial firepower to wait for the oil price to recover. As of 31 December, BP had total debts of $53bn, cash of $26.6bn and a net debt-to-equity ratio of 27%.

 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended BP and Rio Tinto. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.
Investing Articles

After a 2,342% rise, could this FTSE 250 stock keep going?

This FTSE 250 stock boasts a highly cash-generative business model and has been flying for years. Is it time to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

It’s up 70%, but the experts expect the IAG share price to climb still further

Why didn't I buy when I was convinced the IAG share price was likely to soar? And is there still…

Read more »

Businessman use electronic pen writing rising colorful graph from 2023 to 2024 year of business planning and stock investment growth concept.
Investing Articles

2 UK stocks with recovering profit margins

This writer considers a pair of UK stocks with very different share price trajectories following the pandemic. Would he buy…

Read more »

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

Will Trump’s tariffs squeeze this FTSE 100 giant’s profits?

Our writer looks at how the latest news around US tariffs might impact FTSE 100 company Diageo. Should he be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Up 95%, is this FTSE winner the best high-yield star for me to buy now?

Do we have to choose between share price growth and high-yield dividends? In this case, over the past year, it…

Read more »

Asian Indian male white collar worker on wheelchair having video conference with his business partners
Investing Articles

2 dividend-paying FTSE shares that could benefit from the AI revolution

Our writer examines two dividend-paying FTSE shares and explains some of the opportunities and risks he sees in their exposure…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Up 140% and rocketing out of the FTSE 250! Is it too late for me to buy this red-hot stock?

Miniature war games hero Games Workshop has outgrown the FTSE 250 and is hammering at the door of the UK's…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I invest £10,000 in Taylor Wimpey shares, how much passive income will I receive?

Taylor Wimpey shares have fallen and are now paying a huge dividend. How much might I receive by investing a…

Read more »