HSBC Holdings Plc: Here’s Why Analysts Are So Bullish!

Here is why the analyst community is becoming more bullish on HSBC Holdings Plc (LON: HSBA) shares.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Many investors could be forgiven if they have been left feeling disappointed by the performance of HSBC (LSE: HSBA) shares during recent years, as they have featured consistently among the banking sector’s worst performers.

Key to HSBC’s weakness has been a significant expansion in the value of household and corporate debt within emerging markets, which has coincided with a slowdown in the Chinese economy. Given the exposure to emerging markets within HSBC’s loan book, it is perhaps understandable why the market has continued to re-rate the stock during the last 24 months.

This begs the question, why do analysts now appear to hold such a bullish outlook for the shares?

Regulatory capital drives brighter analyst consensus

While HSBC has long held one of the strongest capital buffers among the UK listed banks, it is the after-effects of a robust capital policy that seem to have driven a brightening consensus among the investment banking industry heavyweights.

HSBC’s CET1 capital ratio currently sits just shy of 11%, while in 2017 it is projected to reach 14%. This should provide the group with a sufficient enough buffer to meet any challenges that further China-induced turmoil could potentially throw at it.

Furthermore, with management having suggested that they will take little further action in terms of capital buffers for the current year, it now seems safe to assume that the dividend should at least remain flat with that of the previous year.

As of the end of September, Citi Group, Goldman Sachs, UBS, Investec and Societe Generale had all rated the shares as a buy within the preceding eight weeks, while Berenberg has also reiterated its 750p price target for the stock.

Cheap, Undervalued Or Just Fairly Valued?

While, at 520p each the shares are at multi-year lows, the most striking thing about HSBC at present is the valuation.

This is as the group currently trades at 0.9x net asset value per share, 1x tangible book value and on a forward P/E of 9.8x the consensus for 2015 earnings per share.

In addition, if consensus estimates for total dividends of 33 pence per share are correct, the shares will offer a yield of 6.4% that is covered 1.5x over by EPS.

Summing Up

It is possible that the current slowdown in emerging markets could still prove to be a headwind to earnings during the coming years, which may form a weight around the ankles of the shares.

However, it is also possible that HSBC’s actions on regulatory capital and costs in recent times could still provide it with the ability to improve shareholder returns during the coming years.

At the very least, the likelihood of lower provisions toward regulatory capital buffers in the current year implies a fair chance of HSBC meeting consensus expectations for dividends in 2015 and, with the analyst community now beginning to upgrade estimates for the shares, I can’t help but think that HSBC investors may still have their day yet.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

James Skinner has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended HSBC Holdings. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Should I sell my FTSE All-Share index fund and buy a S&P 500 tracker instead?

Harvey Jones is wondering whether now is a good time to invest more money in the S&P 500, after a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Should I buy dirt-cheap BT shares after the recent pullback?

BT shares were on the up but now they're sliding again after the board trimmed full-year guidance. Now Harvey Jones…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Up 28%, can the easyJet share price keep rising?

The easyJet share price has gained altitude over one year but plunged over five. Is now an attractive time for…

Read more »

British Isles on nautical map
Investing Articles

Should I buy more BAE Systems shares at 1,350p?

BAE Systems shares have had a fantastic run since early 2022, yet still don't appear overvalued. Is it now time…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

7% yield and a cheap valuation! Is this one of the best shares to buy this month?

Christopher Ruane has been looking for cheap shares to buy. This one has a 7% dividend yield, so is it…

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

Should I buy National Grid shares for the big dividend before it’s too late?

This year's price weakness has left National Grid shares on what looks like a tempting valuation. I hope it doesn't…

Read more »

Investing Articles

There are now 5,000 ISA millionaires! See the surprising UK dividend shares they’re buying

The number of ISA millionaires is growing all the time and guess what? They're really into blue-chip dividend shares listed…

Read more »

Blue NIO sports car in Oslo showroom
Investing Articles

Down 38% in weeks! Time to snap up NIO stock?

NIO stock's more than doubled in value over the past five years but has been on a wild ride lately.…

Read more »