The FTSE 100 Tracker Fund Is Dead

Putting too much of your portfolio in FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX) trackers is liable to end in tears, says Harvey Jones

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

When the trend for tracker funds took off 20 years or so ago, the biggest sellers of all were inevitably FTSE 100 trackers. Following the fortunes of the UK’s benchmark index of 100 leading companies appeared to be the best way of passively following the UK stock market, especially in the booming 1990s.

The last 15 years have soured that strategy, yet millions of investors (including me) still have hefty exposure to what is an increasingly unrepresentative index.

Heavy Metals

One of the attractions of tracking the FTSE 100 is now one of its major drawbacks. Its constituents generate 75% of their revenues overseas, which makes this index a great way of investing in fast-growing global markets from the safety of these well-regulated shores. The downside is that a disproportionate amount of these earnings come from a narrow range of sectors.

I’m thinking of oil and gas stocks, which make up a whopping 11% of the index by weighting, led by BP and Royal Dutch Shell. Resources stocks make up another 5%, thanks to BHP BillitonRio Tinto, Anglo-American, Antofagasta, Glencore and Fresnillo. That has made the last year a bleak one for the index: the HSBC FTSE 100 Index tracker is down nearly 9% over the past 12 months, for example, while sister tracker the HSBC FTSE 250 Index is up more than 8%.

Big Bad Banks

Oil and commodity stocks aren’t entirely to blame, either. The index is also heavily exposed to the troubled banking sector, which makes up 10% of the index. Barclays, Lloyds Banking Group, Royal Bank of Scotland Group have all had a turbulent and punishing decade. HSBC Holdings (which makes up 6.33% of the index on its own) and Standard Chartered were supposed to boom on back of Chinese and Asian markets, only to suffer for the same reason.

Then there is the troubled grocery sector, with J Sainsbury, WM Morrison and of course Tesco all heavily marked down over the past five years.

Wheel Of Fortune

Naturally, oil, resources, banking and grocery stocks won’t always be at the sharp end of the business cycle, at some point the wheel of fortune will swing in their favour and the FTSE 100 will beat the FTSE 250 again. The last time it did this was in 2007, when it grew 2.5%, against a 7% drop on the 250. It also offered some ballast in 2011, falling 2% against a 10% slump on the FTSE 250.

You should still examine your exposure to FTSE 100 trackers. If you have directed too much of your portfolio into them, you could have an absurdly lopsided portfolio.

Also ask yourself you want so much exposures to troubled sectors such as oil, banking and supermarkets. It may be worth buying individual stocks instead, which allows you to pick out likely winners from the index rather than passively tracking the fortunes of losers as well.

Passive investing has its attractions but only if you take an active interest to find out exactly what you are investing in.

Harvey Jones holds units in the HSBC FTSE 100 Index and HSBC FTSE 250 Index trackers. The Motley Fool has recommended shares in Barclays and HSBC Holdings.

More on Investing Articles

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing For Beginners

Experts think this penny stock could rise by 80% or more in the coming year

Jon Smith points out a penny stock that has the potential to soar this year if international expansion pays off,…

Read more »

Investing Articles

What next for Barclays shares, after this shock 15% slump?

What a tangled web we encounter when we look too deeply into the workings of the global banking sector. Barclays…

Read more »

Hydrogen testing at DLR Cologne
Investing Articles

Will the Rolls-Royce share price rise 5% or 36% by this time next year?

Rolls-Royce's share price hit new heights after stunning full-year results on Thursday (26 February). Can the FTSE 100 firm keep…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

Airtel Africa’s shares are up as others on the FTSE 100 plummet. What’s going on?

With yet another conflict starting in the Middle East, James Beard notes that investors are still buying Airtel Africa’s shares.…

Read more »

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Hot dates for dividend investors to mark in their March diaries

The year's stock market gains might be taking some edge off high yields, but UK dividend investors still have plenty…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

Is it time to snap up Nvidia stock, after it fell 9% on Q4 results?

Nvidia makes a laughing stock of naysayers and their doom-and-gloom moods yet again, but the stock responds with a hefty…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA to generate a second income of £2,700 a month in 2050?

Ben McPoland highlights a 6%-yielding stock from the FTSE 100 index that could contribute towards an attractive second income.

Read more »

Iberian plane on runway
Investing Articles

Is this a once-in-a-decade chance to snap up my highest conviction UK share?

Harvey Jones is a big fan of this beaten-down UK share and reckons it offers some of the most exciting…

Read more »