1 Huge Problem For Tesco PLC, WM Morrison Supermarkets PLC & J Sainsbury plc

UK supermarkets Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO), WM Morrison Supermarkets PLC (LON:MRW) and J Sainsbury plc (LON:SBRY) are faced with a huge risk that could damage profits. What does this mean for investors?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Prices are being slashed at Tesco (LSE: TSCO), J Sainsbury (LSE: SBRY) and WM Morrison Supermarkets (LSE: MRW). Scrambling to respond to recent trends of tumbling like-for-like sales, worsening profits and dwindling market share, these retailers hope to turn their fortunes around by wielding a non-exclusive, unexceptional competitive tool: the labelling gun.

They cite as a primary concern the rise of discounters such as Lidl and Aldi, which have been rapidly gaining market share in the UK. In a desperate attempt to staunch the outpouring of customers, the three biggest conventional UK supermarket chains have committed to investing hundreds of millions of pounds in price cuts.

Investments

In fiscal years 2014-15, Morrisons spent the bulk of £315m to reduce charges on 1,700 items by an average of 17%; Sainsbury’s has touted price decreases on 1,100 items; and Tesco has lowered prices across several ranges. All three grocers say these cuts are permanent. Effectively, they have initiated an “everyday low-pricing” strategy, whereby goods are priced extremely competitively and are kept low for sustained periods. To make this pledge concrete, the grocers have each launched their own price-checking tools that enable customers to compare baskets of goods with, at minimum, the top three competitors.

Tesco’s Price Promise programme will match items to comparable goods at Asda, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons using daily or bi-weekly price updates. If the Tesco shopper’s basket costs more than the competitors’, Tesco will offset the difference by providing a voucher. Sainsbury’s launched a similar scheme. Morrisons’ Match & More will reward shoppers with loyalty points that eventually translate into vouchers. These programmes are meant to negate any excuses a customer might have to shop elsewhere, and they might benefit the few shoppers who use them.

But this strategy is problematic. Unless Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons revamp the entirety of their store strategies – which currently emphasise service, range and quality – they will be poor competitors in a game perfected by the budget retailers. These strategies require higher spending needs that discounters have largely avoided. At Aldi, for example, customers are not provided the luxury of free carrier bags; customers bring their own. Stores are not designed to exude a comforting, relaxing quality; what matters is operational efficiency. Products are displayed inelegantly, with items remaining in their shipping cartons until the very end of their journey, when they’re plucked out by the customer for purchase. Reducing the handling of merchandise reduces labour costs. By restricting its hours of operation to peak times only, Aldi lowers labour and energy expenses. The services provided are minimal, the selection is slim, and the company’s concern for quality is secondary to its concern for price.

Tesco wants to improve service, not reduce it – the company has been hiring thousands more client-facing personnel. Sainsbury’s has proclaimed, “Our investment in quality where it matters to our customers is at the heart of our strategy”. Morrisons has expressed the need to “improve the small details of the customer shopping experience”. These are noble objectives, but they contradict the companies’ primary strategy of price deflation. To be a low-price leader, the companies need to be a low-expense leader.

Industry Destructiveness

Even if the grocers could compete effectively with discounters, it still probably wouldn’t be a particularly good idea. Intense competition based solely on price can be destructive to the industry. When a grocer attempts to poach customers by waving the ‘lowest cost, highest value’ flag, it’s visible to all competitors, and retaliation can be nearly instantaneous. Through successive rounds of price cuts, in this zero-sum competition, margins for all grocers can get crushed. The only players that come out ahead in this game are the customers.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

R.D. Greengold has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of Tesco. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

2 promising British value stocks I’d consider for a Stocks & Shares ISA next year

Despite the recent slowdown, the Footsie is still packed with exceptional stocks and shares. Here are two our writer would…

Read more »

Investing Articles

After falling 28% my favourite growth stock looks dirt cheap with a P/E of just 9.6!

Harvey Jones wonders whether the sell-off in his favourite FTSE 100 growth stock is a dire warning or an opportunity…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d target £10k passive income a year by investing just £100 a week

Think we need to be rich to retire on a solid passive income stream that we don't have to work…

Read more »

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Investing Articles

My favourite income stock is suddenly 20% cheaper and yields 7.26%! Time to buy more?

Harvey Jones has just seen the gains on his favourite FTSE 100 income stock largely wiped out as the shares…

Read more »

Young Caucasian girl showing and pointing up with fingers number three against yellow background
Investing Articles

3 stock market mistakes I’d avoid

Our writer explores a trio of things that can trip up investors who are new to the stock market. Each…

Read more »

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

Just released: our top 3 small-cap stocks to consider buying in October [PREMIUM PICKS]

Small-cap shares tend to be more volatile than larger companies, so we suggest investors should look to build up a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How I’d use an empty Stocks and Shares ISA to aim for a £1,000 monthly passive income

Here's how using a Stocks and Shares ISA really could help those of us who plan to invest for an…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE stock is up 20% and set for its best day ever! Time to buy?

This Fool takes a look at the half-year results from Burberry (LON:BRBY) to see if the struggling FTSE stock might…

Read more »