Is Flybe Group PLC Better Value Than easyJet plc and Ryanair Holdings Plc As Its Recovery Gathers Pace?

Ryanair Holdings Plc (LON: RYA) and easyJet plc (LON: EZJ) have soared, but is Flybe Group PLC (LON: FLYB) set to catch up?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

There’s no doubt that investing in budget airlines has been a good choice of late, as both easyJet (LSE: EZJ) and Ryanair (LSE: RYA) shares have more than trebled over the past five years.

Compared to those two, the struggling Flybe (LSE: FLYB) has been a flop, with years of losses leading to an 80% share price fall over the same period. But with 10 June having brought us results for “the first full financial year of Flybe’s three year transformation plan“, could we be looking at a recovery bargain?

Forecasts suggest Flybe will be back in profit this year, with a trebling in EPS penciled in for the year to March 2017 putting the shares on a potential P/E of under 4! That’s still two years away, and a small airline recovery is a risky thing to invest in, but will it come good?

Should you invest £1,000 in easyJet right now?

When investing expert Mark Rogers has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for nearly a decade has provided thousands of paying members with top stock recommendations from the UK and US markets. And right now, Mark thinks there are 6 standout stocks that investors should consider buying. Want to see if easyJet made the list?

See the 6 stocks

Flybe reported a pre-tax loss of £35.6m for the year, although £12m of that was from Flybe’s now discontinued joint venture with Finnair, after a reduction in charter business and a planned drop in overall capacity helped knock revenue down by 7.5% to £574m.

More bums on seats

But after a number of adjustments, the company claimed an “illustrative” profit of £16.6m, and it recorded improved passenger statistics with a 3.3% rise in revenue per seat to £51.35 and a 5.7 percentage point rise in load factor to 75.2%. The airline’s cash position is also healthy enough, with total cash of £195.9m as of 31 March. That equates to 90.4p, which seems attractive compared to today’s 58p share price.

We can’t ignore the competition though, so how are the two low-cost rivals faring? Well, easyJet shares have actually been flat since the start of 2014, but even after their terrific rise they’re still trading on a forward P/E of a fairly modest 12 on today’s 1,587p share price, dropping to 11 on 2016 forecasts — and that’s with well-covered dividends of better than 3%.

Ryanair, which has actually gained 62% over the past 12 months, is on a loftier valuation with mooted P/E multiples of 16.5 and 13.5 this year and next on a price of 11.9p, with only a 1.5% dividend indicated for 2017.

I don’t like airlines as an investment generally and I’d really want to see a low-enough valuation to give me a safety margin. On that score, easyJet comes close, and I think it could actually be a decent investment over the next few years. But I’d be steering clear of Ryanair on today’s valuations.

Flybe looks cheap

Putting those two aside, it looks to me like there’s a lot of upside potential for Flybe that’s just not accounted for in the current share price. I can understand why investors are cautious, but chief executive Saad Hammad opined that “Flybe is back on track to recovery and profitable growth” — and he could well be right.

We think earning passive income has never been easier

Do you like the idea of dividend income?

The prospect of investing in a company just once, then sitting back and watching as it potentially pays a dividend out over and over?

If you’re excited by the thought of regular passive income payments, as well as the potential for significant growth on your initial investment…

Then we think you’ll want to see this report inside Motley Fool Share Advisor — ‘5 Essential Stocks For Passive Income Seekers’.

What’s more, today we’re giving away one of these stock picks, absolutely free!

Get your free passive income stock pick

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Alan Oscroft has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Nvidia stock is down 24% this year. Time to buy the dip?

Christopher Ruane has been eyeing Nvidia stock as a potential addition to his portfolio for a while. Is a recent…

Read more »

Petrochemical engineer working at night with digital tablet inside oil and gas refinery plant
Investing Articles

Down 25% since January, this resilient dividend stock’s catching my eye

Maintaining the UK’s rail, water, and energy infrastructure isn’t the most exciting business. But it has made this a solid…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Prediction: Unilever to outperform the FTSE 100 over the next 12 months

The FTSE 100 has made a strong start to 2025, but Stephen Wright thinks a popular dividend stock could be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I just bought this legendary S&P 500 tech stock for my ISA, 27% off its highs

This S&P 500 stock has tanked over the last month and Edward Sheldon has snapped it up for his portfolio…

Read more »

Young black man looking at phone while on the London Overground
Investing Articles

2 beaten-down stocks to consider for an ISA after the massive market sell-off!

The stock market has had a sudden meltdown! Yet our writer thinks these two growth stocks look attractive candidates for…

Read more »

British Pennies on a Pound Note
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT what the best UK penny stock was. This is what it said…

Can AI find winning penny stock investments? Zaven Boyrazian puts ChatGPT to the test and discovers a potentially interesting opportunity.

Read more »

Investing Articles

These FTSE 100 stocks could be the winners from Trump’s tariffs!

President Trump’s unpopular tariffs caused mayhem on the world’s stock markets this week. But some FTSE 100 stocks bucked this…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Are these 3 sold-off UK shares secretly screaming buys?

Despite the FTSE 100 rising, there are still plenty of struggling UK shares. But are these three sold-off stocks potential…

Read more »