Is Flybe Group PLC Better Value Than easyJet plc and Ryanair Holdings Plc As Its Recovery Gathers Pace?

Ryanair Holdings Plc (LON: RYA) and easyJet plc (LON: EZJ) have soared, but is Flybe Group PLC (LON: FLYB) set to catch up?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

There’s no doubt that investing in budget airlines has been a good choice of late, as both easyJet (LSE: EZJ) and Ryanair (LSE: RYA) shares have more than trebled over the past five years.

Compared to those two, the struggling Flybe (LSE: FLYB) has been a flop, with years of losses leading to an 80% share price fall over the same period. But with 10 June having brought us results for “the first full financial year of Flybe’s three year transformation plan“, could we be looking at a recovery bargain?

Forecasts suggest Flybe will be back in profit this year, with a trebling in EPS penciled in for the year to March 2017 putting the shares on a potential P/E of under 4! That’s still two years away, and a small airline recovery is a risky thing to invest in, but will it come good?

Should you invest £1,000 in easyJet right now?

When investing expert Mark Rogers has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for nearly a decade has provided thousands of paying members with top stock recommendations from the UK and US markets. And right now, Mark thinks there are 6 standout stocks that investors should consider buying. Want to see if easyJet made the list?

See the 6 stocks

Flybe reported a pre-tax loss of £35.6m for the year, although £12m of that was from Flybe’s now discontinued joint venture with Finnair, after a reduction in charter business and a planned drop in overall capacity helped knock revenue down by 7.5% to £574m.

More bums on seats

But after a number of adjustments, the company claimed an “illustrative” profit of £16.6m, and it recorded improved passenger statistics with a 3.3% rise in revenue per seat to £51.35 and a 5.7 percentage point rise in load factor to 75.2%. The airline’s cash position is also healthy enough, with total cash of £195.9m as of 31 March. That equates to 90.4p, which seems attractive compared to today’s 58p share price.

We can’t ignore the competition though, so how are the two low-cost rivals faring? Well, easyJet shares have actually been flat since the start of 2014, but even after their terrific rise they’re still trading on a forward P/E of a fairly modest 12 on today’s 1,587p share price, dropping to 11 on 2016 forecasts — and that’s with well-covered dividends of better than 3%.

Ryanair, which has actually gained 62% over the past 12 months, is on a loftier valuation with mooted P/E multiples of 16.5 and 13.5 this year and next on a price of 11.9p, with only a 1.5% dividend indicated for 2017.

I don’t like airlines as an investment generally and I’d really want to see a low-enough valuation to give me a safety margin. On that score, easyJet comes close, and I think it could actually be a decent investment over the next few years. But I’d be steering clear of Ryanair on today’s valuations.

Flybe looks cheap

Putting those two aside, it looks to me like there’s a lot of upside potential for Flybe that’s just not accounted for in the current share price. I can understand why investors are cautious, but chief executive Saad Hammad opined that “Flybe is back on track to recovery and profitable growth” — and he could well be right.

5 stocks for trying to build wealth after 50

The cost of living crisis shows no signs of slowing… the conflict in the Middle East and Ukraine shows no sign of resolution, while the global economy could be teetering on the brink of recession.

Whether you’re a newbie investor or a seasoned pro, deciding which stocks to add to your shopping list can be a daunting prospect during such unprecedented times. Yet despite the stock market’s recent gains, we think many shares still trade at a discount to their true value.

Fortunately, The Motley Fool UK analyst team have short-listed five companies that they believe STILL boast significant long-term growth prospects despite the global upheaval…

We’re sharing the names in a special FREE investing report that you can download today. We believe these stocks could be a great fit for any well-diversified portfolio with the goal of building wealth in your 50’s.

Claim your free copy now

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Alan Oscroft has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Man putting his card into an ATM machine while his son sits in a stroller beside him.
Investing Articles

Up 33%! Here’s why I’m not buying more Lloyds shares this month

Lloyds shares are on a tear in 2025, up almost a third since the year began. But Mark Hartley remains…

Read more »

Aerial shot showing an aircraft shadow flying over an idyllic beach
Investing Articles

£3,000 in savings? Here’s how it could be used to start investing and earning a monthly passive income

Christopher Ruane outlines how someone could start investing today with a spare £3K to try and build passive income streams…

Read more »

Young Asian man drinking coffee at home and looking at his phone
Investing Articles

Tesco shares go ex-dividend on 15 May. Time to consider buying them?

Harvey Jones admires Tesco shares because they combine solid share price growth with a decent level of dividend income. The…

Read more »

Senior couple are walking their dog through a public park in Autumn.
Investing Articles

Is today’s market turmoil a brilliant opportunity to get a high second income from dividends?

Falling share prices drive up yields in a boost for those after a second income from dividends. Harvey Jones looks…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
Investing Articles

Outlook: in just 12 months the BP share price could turn £10,000 into…

Forecasters seem pretty optimistic about prospects for the BP share price, suggesting it could be in for a major rally.…

Read more »

Santa Clara offices of NVIDIA
Investing Articles

Down 28%, is Nvidia stock a bargain – or a value trap?

Nvidia stock has crashed this year -- but it's still a star performer over the long term! So, is this…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£10k invested in Barclays shares at the start of 2025 is now worth…

Harvey Jones says Barclays shares were unlikely to continue 2024's blistering run, given all the uncertainty out there. Yet long-term…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

Here’s how a first-time investor could start buying shares with £3k

Is it possible to start buying shares with £3K? Yes it is -- and here our writer goes into some…

Read more »