Why I Would Sell BT Group plc And SKY PLC But Buy Talktalk Telecom Group PLC

Why Talktalk Telecom Group PLC (LON: TALK) is a better pick than SKY PLC (LON: SKY) and BT Group plc (LON: BT.A).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Talktalk Telecom (LSE: TALK) released an upbeat set of full-year results yesterday. For the fiscal year ending March, unadjusted pre-tax profit rose by around 3% year on year to £32m while revenue ticked higher by 5% to £1.8bn.

However, these results included exceptional costs of £63m related to Talktalk’s restructuring programme, as well as the intergeneration of customer bases acquired from Virgin Media and Tesco

Excluding these costs, statutory profit after tax jumped 157.1% year on year to £72m. 

Upgrading forecasts

In addition to these upbeat full-year results, Talktalk announced that it was upgrading it compound annual revenue growth target through the financial year 2017. Management now expects the group to grow revenue by 5% per year beyond 2017. The previous forecast predicted annual growth of 4% after 2017. 

Further, Talktalk has raised its cost savings target from £50m by 2017, as originally targeted, to £70m. 

Also, as promised previously, Talktalk announced a 15% increase in its dividend payout.  

And these results, along with the company’s long-term forecast, highlight why Talktalk is a better pick than larger peers SKY (LSE: SKY) and BT (LSE: BT-A).

Competitive pressures

Both BT and Sky are facing multiple pressures.

Sky, for example, is under threat from the rise of streaming, on-demand content providers like Netflix. Not only to these providers offer an on-demand service but, for the most part, they are the cheaper alternative.

What’s more, Sky’s recent decision to pay a record-breaking £4.2bn for the rights to broadcast 126 Premier League games, has only reduced the company’s ability to compete effectively with lower cost providers.

After paying for these rights, the company is having to increase the prices of its TV packages by around 9% to maintain its current level of profitability.

With prices rising, sooner or later customers will start switching off their Sky boxes and turn to cheaper alternatives. 

A drag on earnings

BT does have a wider product offering than Sky, so the company can compete more effectively with smaller rivals. Still, the threat of regulation, the company’s towering pension deficit, and debt pile are preventing it from lowering prices to dominate the market. 

All of these pressures are proving to be a drag on earnings for these two multimedia giants.

Talktalk is facing no such pressures. Indeed, the company is growing rapidly, both organically and through bolt-on acquisitions, while its prices are some of the lowest around. Additionally, the company is still small enough to fly under the radar of regulators. 

Slow growth 

The pressures currently facing BT and Sky really shows through in analysts’ forecasts for the two companies.

For example, City analysts expect BT’s earnings per share to grow by 2.2% over the next two years, roughly 1.1% per year. Similarly, analysts believe that Sky’s earnings will grow by around 6.6% over the next two years.

These growth rates are hardly anything to get excited about, especially when you take into account BT and Sky’s lofty valuations. Specifically, BT and Sky currently trade at forward P/Es of 15.1 and 20.2 respectively. 

Cheap growth

On the other hand, Talktalk, with its smaller customer base and room to grow is set to grow rapidly over the next two years. Analysts predict that the company’s earnings per share will expand by 73% during 2016 and 42% during 2017.

Overall, analysts are predicting that Talktalk’s earnings will expand 178% over the next two years. 

But despite this projected growth, Talktalk currently trades at a relatively subdued forward P/E of 24.3 and PEG ratio of 0.3.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Sky. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

10%+ dividend yields! 3 top dividend shares to consider in 2025!

Investing in these high-yield UK dividend shares could deliver a huge passive income for years to come. Royston Wild explains…

Read more »

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Greggs’ share price tanked last week. So I bought more!

Could Greggs be one of the FTSE 250's best bargains following its share price slump? Royston Wild thinks so, as…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Games Workshop shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Despite inflation, higher interest rates, and a cost of living crisis, Games Workshop shares have gone from strength to strength…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How much in a Stocks and Shares ISA could earn me £500 of passive income each month?

Christopher Ruane does the maths and explains how he's trying to generate hundreds of pounds per month in passive income…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Prediction: 2 UK shares that could outperform Rolls-Royce between now and 2030

Away from the FTSE 100 and the FTSE 250, Stephen Wright thinks there are some UK shares with outstanding growth…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Can easyJet soar like the Rolls-Royce share price?

Harvey Jones is looking for FTSE 100 stocks that can match the success of the Rolls-Royce share price. Budget carrier…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is there any growth potential left in Tesla stock?

Tesla stock has shot up 85% in less than three months. Christopher Ruane shares his take on the firm's valuation…

Read more »

Runner standing at the starting point with 2025 year for starting in new year 2025 to achieve business planing and success concept.
Investing Articles

Can Taylor Wimpey rocket like the IAG share price?

The IAG share price smashed the FTSE 100 last year but Harvey Jones thinks it may struggle to repeat that…

Read more »