Is Unilever plc A Promising Capital-Growth Investment?

Some firm’s growth is more sustainable than others. What about Unilever plc (LON: ULVR)?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

unilever2If we look at Unilever’s(LSE: ULVR) (NYSE: UL.US) longer-term share price chart, we can see that the consumer products firm has been a great capital-growth investment for those holding through the ups, downs and years-long periods of flat lining.

In early 2000 the shares traded at about 800p, which means today’s 2707p indicates a 238% increase in capital for fortunate holders, who will also have enjoyed a regular income stream from dividends. Long-term performance like that is often as good as it gets for any kind of buy-and-forget investment proposition.

Patience and faith

I think the underlying story told by that long-term share price chart has plenty of twists, turns and sub-plots though. Investors holding for the last fourteen years have done well simply to hang on. The very act of not selling seems to require patience and faith – perhaps two of the hardest qualities to apply for any investor looking after their own funds.

Should you invest £1,000 in Wise Plc right now?

When investing expert Mark Rogers has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for nearly a decade has provided thousands of paying members with top stock recommendations from the UK and US markets. And right now, Mark thinks there are 6 standout stocks that investors should consider buying. Want to see if Wise Plc made the list?

See the 6 stocks

For example, buying first off, in 2000’s bear market, required faith that Unilever’s cash-generating consumer brands would not falter in recessionary times. Investors needed to project that names such as today’s stalwarts Lipton, Wall’s, Knorr, Hellman’s, Omo, Ben & Jerry’s, Pond’s, Lux, Cif, Sunsilk, Sunlight, Flora, Bertolli, Domestos, Comfort, Radox and Surf would keep the cash pumping. It was a good call – the shares rose to around 1300p before the year was out, delivering a 63% increase for astute shareholders.

How tempting it must have been to take profits then – with the shares back down to 1000p four years later, many persistent investors might have wished they had. How many would have lost patience as the shares stagnated? Yet, three years after that the shares were up at 1900p, vindicating the decision to hold on. Then the credit-crunch came, with Unilever shares flirting with 1200p in early 2009, perhaps that was enough to shakeout some investors. I hope not, because four years later in 2013 the shares had delivered a 130% gain and stood at over 2800p.

Short-term news is irrelevant

We find the strength of Unilever as a long-term investment in the basic business model underpinning the company. Unilever produces and markets stuff that people want, which has rock-solid repeat-purchase credentials, and therefore keeps the cash taps flowing.

Recent news that Unilever lost its head of Personal Care, to Tesco doesn’t matter a jot to the firm’s longer-term outlook. The director’s latest assertions that emerging markets continue to slow and that mature markets have yet to pick up is mere short-term noise. The fluctuating valuation placed on the firm and expressed in the P/E rating hardly matters at all.

Hard to break

A bet on share-price weakness has always proved to be an astute move in the past. Sales or profits might be down a bit, war and pestilence might have broken out around the world, the valuation might be signalling tough times ahead, and a key member of Unilever’s management team might have defected to another company, but none of that matters. The underlying fundamentals of the business model have always shone through. People keep buying soap, deodorant, soup, ice cream and washing powder, no matter what.  

With such a basic trading advantage, management within the firm will need to try really, really hard before they can destroy Unilever’s cash flow or shrink the company to destroy any investment in it. If things do start slipping, it’s very likely that the directors will respond to feedback and take corrective action, even if new directors need to be dropped in to do it.

What now?

Unilever strikes me as a promising capital-growth investment from here, as long as I use the strategy of taking a long-term view, say fifteen years at least. Tactically, I’d use share-price action to time purchases – buying on the bigger dips.

Pound coins for sale — 31 pence?

This seems ridiculous, but we almost never see shares looking this cheap. Yet this Share Advisor pick has a price/book ratio of 0.31. In plain English, this means that investors effectively get in on a business that holds £1 of assets for every 31p they invest!

Of course, this is the stock market where money is always at risk — these valuations can change and there are no guarantees. But some risks are a LOT more interesting than others, and at The Motley Fool we believe this company is amongst them.

What’s more, it currently boasts a stellar dividend yield of around 10%, and right now it’s possible for investors to jump aboard at near-historic lows. Want to get the name for yourself?

See the full investment case

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Kevin Godbold has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of Unilever. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Are Trump’s tariffs a once-in-a-lifetime chance for ISA investors to get rich?

The £20,000 Stocks and Shares ISA limit will reset on 6 April. Smart investors could use current market volatility to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here are the latest Persimmon share price and dividend forecasts

Our writer looks at the latest forecasts for the Persimmon share price and considers what level of dividend the stock…

Read more »

British Pennies on a Pound Note
Investing Articles

Up 900%, could penny share Kodal Minerals have further to run?

Over five years, this penny share has increased in value by a factor of 10. Could the latest news persuade…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 world-class stocks to consider buying, while they’re ‘on sale’

Looking for stocks to buy? These three all have attractive long-term prospects and are currently trading 20% or more below…

Read more »

Smart young brown businesswoman working from home on a laptop
Investing Articles

Could BP’s share price rebound over the next 12 months? These analysts think the answer is ‘yes’!

BPs share price has plummeted over the last year. But City brokers think things are about to turn around, as…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is this an unmissable opportunity to buy Nvidia stock?

Nvidia stock is down 33% from its peak, driven by tariffs and geopolitical pressures. Despite this, some investors may spy…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Dividend investors! Here’s what Warren Buffett says builds wealth in the stock market

Reinvesting dividends at yields of 8% or higher looks like a good way of building wealth. But Warren Buffett has…

Read more »

Calendar showing the date of 5th April on desk in a house
Investing Articles

Here’s my Stocks and Shares ISA plan for 2025-26

A Stocks and Shares ISA helps investors avoid taxes on dividends and capital gains. And Stephen Wright has a plan…

Read more »