Is It Time To Dump Aviva plc For Lancashire Holdings Limited?

Why Lancashire Holdings Limited (LON:LRE) could be a better pick than Aviva plc (LON:AV).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Aviva (LSE: AV) (NYSE: AV.US) has put in a strong performance this year, as the company’s turnaround plan continues to gain traction.

Indeed, since the beginning of 2013 Aviva’s shares have risen approximately 40%, outperforming the wider FTSE 100 by around 30%. However, after these gains it could be time to give up on the life insurer, in favour of the company’s smaller peer, Lancashire Holdings (LSE: LRE).

Solid start Aviva

Aviva has made a strong start to 2014 and the company is well on the way to putting past mistakes behind it. 

During the first quarter, across the group, the value of new business increased by 13%, the sixth consecutive quarter of year on year growth. Businesses within Poland and Asia racked up the best performance, with new business in these two regions expanding 108%, to £21m and 96%, to £32m respectively.

Unfortunately, UK business did slow. The value of new life insurance business within the UK declined by 22% from £114m, to £89m, with annuity sales 43% lower at £40m.

Nevertheless, Aviva continues to make progress on its structural reform. During October of last year the group completed the sale of Aviva USA, for a total of £1.6bn.

Other disposals include the company’s Turkish general insurance business, US asset management boutique, River Road and Aviva’s South Korean joint venture. Further, Aviva has restructured its Italian operations.

Still, despite this progress, Aviva has now lost many of its attractive qualities as an investment. For example, the company only offers a dividend yield of 3% at present, lower than the FTSE 100 average of 3.4%. What’s more, at present levels Aviva is trading at a forward P/E of 10.1, significantly above its ten-year average P/E of 8.

So, maybe it’s time to take profits on Aviva, the company’s smaller peer, Lancashire Holdings looks to be a better pick.

A better option

Unlike Aviva, Lancashire is not a life insurer. Lancashire is a specialty insurer, providing insurance for the Aviation, Energy, Marine, Property and Terrorism/Political Risk markets, which can be a highly profitable business. Actually, famed City fund manager Neil Woodford was a fan of Lancashire, praising the company’s management and attractive dividend payouts. 

It’s easy to see why Woodford was attracted to the company. Within Lancashire’s half year report, released today, the company revealed a 54% jump in quarterly net premiums written. 

For the most part, this gain was driven by the acquisition in late 2013 of Lloyd’s of London insurer Cathedral Capital Ltd. City analysts expect this strong performance to filter through to investors over the next two years. 

In particular, the City is currently predicting that Lancashire will support a dividend yield of 9.8% during 2015, a lofty payout, which you would be hard pressed to find anywhere else. Lancashire is also cheaper than Aviva, as the company currently trades at a forward P/E of 8.6.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the shares mentioned.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Games Workshop shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Despite inflation, higher interest rates, and a cost of living crisis, Games Workshop shares have gone from strength to strength…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How much in a Stocks and Shares ISA could earn me £500 of passive income each month?

Christopher Ruane does the maths and explains how he's trying to generate hundreds of pounds per month in passive income…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Prediction: 2 UK shares that could outperform Rolls-Royce between now and 2030

Away from the FTSE 100 and the FTSE 250, Stephen Wright thinks there are some UK shares with outstanding growth…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Can easyJet soar like the Rolls-Royce share price?

Harvey Jones is looking for FTSE 100 stocks that can match the success of the Rolls-Royce share price. Budget carrier…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is there any growth potential left in Tesla stock?

Tesla stock has shot up 85% in less than three months. Christopher Ruane shares his take on the firm's valuation…

Read more »

Runner standing at the starting point with 2025 year for starting in new year 2025 to achieve business planing and success concept.
Investing Articles

Can Taylor Wimpey rocket like the IAG share price?

The IAG share price smashed the FTSE 100 last year but Harvey Jones thinks it may struggle to repeat that…

Read more »

Runner standing at the starting point with 2025 year for starting in new year 2025 to achieve business planing and success concept.
Investing Articles

Here’s how a stock market beginner could get going in 2025 with £260!

Christopher Ruane explains how a stock market novice could start buying shares for the first time this year with just…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Games Workshop share price falters on half-year results as fears of US tariffs loom

The Games Workshop share price suffered a dip this morning after releasing interim results. Is there more room for growth…

Read more »