1 Reason Why I Wouldn’t Buy Unilever plc Today

Royston Wild explains why Unilever plc (LON: ULVR)’s Foods division remains in peril.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today I am looking at why a murky margarine market is crimping Unilever’s (LSE: ULVR) (NYSE: UL.US) sales outlook.

Margarine sales on the melt

Unilever is far and away the planet’s largest manufacturer of margarines, a position achieved through its suite of vegetable spreads including the likes of Flora and Bertolli. In recent times, however, this has proved to be a millstone around the company’s neck as the popularity of butter amongst shoppers has rocketed higher.

Indeed, the household goods leviathan commented in April’s interims that, during January-March,

despite the successful launches of great-tasting products like Rama with Butter in Germany, the decline of the margarine market remained a drag on our spreads growth.

Although the business noted that it had grabbed a larger market share in Europe and North America, the margarine space is providing a Unileversmaller and smaller pool of opportunity for the likes of Unilever in its critical Western markets.

In the United States alone, sales have been in a tailspin since the mid-1990s, and the US Department of Agriculture expects margarine sales to slump to their lowest since the Second World War in 2014. At the same time butter consumption per capita is expected to hit its highest level for more than 40 years.

Vegetable spreads have been pushed to the back of the fridge as customers have become increasingly concerned over the high levels of trans fat, not to mention the complexity of the manufacturing process. And egged on by the marketing campaigns of supermarkets, not to mention the new generation of television chefs, people are now flocking back to more natural and traditional foods such as butter.

Waning demand for its margarines contributed heavily to the poor performance of Unilever’s Foods arm, which saw like-for-like sales slump 1.7% during the first quarter and underlying volumes droop 2%. The business has been engaged in aggressive asset-shedding across the division in order to strip out a host of underperforming brands, from its Ragu and Bertolli pasta sauce labels in North America through to its Peperami meat snacks in Europe.

Given the state of the margarine market, many expect Unilever to follow these sales with the divestment of its spreads businesses in the near future. But until the company can rid itself of these underperforming assets, the company’s Food division is likely to continue to weigh on group earnings.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Royston Wild has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Unilever.

More on Investing Articles

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

If I’d invested £5,000 in a Nasdaq index fund 5 years ago, here’s how much I’d have now

The Nasdaq index keeps hitting new all-time records in 2024, as US tech stocks fly. How much could I have…

Read more »

A senior group of friends enjoying rowing on the River Derwent
Investing Articles

£500 to invest a month? Consider aiming to turn that into a £20,000 passive income like this!

With a regular monthly investment, it's possible to build a large and steady passive income for retirement. Royston Wild explains.

Read more »

Senior Couple Walking With Pet Bulldog In Countryside
Investing Articles

As retirement needs soar 60%, here’s how I’m building wealth with UK shares

A regular investment in UK shares and funds could help Brits create a large and lasting pension. Our writer Royston…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I’d buy Games Workshop shares before they reach the FTSE 100!

Games Workshop shares look likely to join the FTSE 100 soon. Here’s why I think investors should consider buying the…

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

Could me buying this stock with a $2.5bn market-cap be like investing in Tesla in 2010?

Archer Aviation (NASDAQ:ACHR) stock's nearly doubled so far in November. Could this start-up be another Tesla in the making?

Read more »

Investing Articles

5,000 shares of this UK dividend stock could net me £1,700 a month in passive income

Our writer calculates the passive income he could earn from holding a significant number of shares in this powerful dividend-paying…

Read more »

Investing Articles

9.3%+ yields! 3 FTSE 100 dividend giants to consider buying

Our writer examines a trio of high-yield FTSE 100 shares and explains some of the opportunities and risks he sees…

Read more »

Investing Articles

As the Kingfisher share price drops on Budget fallout, should I buy?

The Kingfisher share price was on a strong 2024 run until the DIY group warned us of the possible effects…

Read more »