Is The Market Due For A Correction?

After five years of gains and the FTSE 100 closing in on all-time highs, some investors could be asking: “Is it time to sell?”

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

I would be lying if I said I wasn’t worried about the market’s current position. After five years of gains, the FTSE 100 now stands 70% above its 2009 lows and these gains have led myself and many other investors to start questioning the markets ability to continue higher. 

That said, while some sectors of the market currently look expensive, others do not and there is still opportunity for profit. 

Pick carefully

Nonetheless, while there are some deals still to be had, some companies and sectors look expensive compared to their historic averages.

For Example, SABMiller (LSE: SAB) is currently trading at a forward P/E of 22, which is significantly above its ten-year average forward P/E of 16. Furthermore, close peers, Anheuser-Busch InBev and Heineken currently trade at a forward P/E of 15 and 12 respectively, indicating that SAB is expensive compared to its wider sector. Unfortunately, SAB’s earnings per share are only expected to expand 5% during the next financial year.

Here are some tips

However, as I have written above there are still some companies that look cheap in this market.

For example, Royal Dutch Shell (LSE: RDSB) (NYSE: RDS-B.US), which is currently trading at a forward P/E of 10, about the same as its ten-year average. Nonetheless, Shell is currently trading at a lower price-to-book value than at any point in the past five years. Additionally, the company’s free cash flow yield is now stronger than it has been in any point during the past five years.

Jumping to the Banks sector, Standard Chartered (LSE: STAN) looks cheap trading at a forward P/E of 11 compared to its ten-year average of 13. Moreover, Standard Chartered’s closest peers, Citigroup and HSBC trade at a forward P/E of 20 and 13 respectively. Actually, according to my figures Standard Chartered achieves a better return on assets for investors than both HSBC and Citigroup, indicating that Standard Chartered should trade at a premium to its peers.

And lastly, commodities giant Rio Tinto (LSE: RIO) has caught my eye. At present Rio trades at a forward P/E of 9, which is below its ten-year historic average P/E of 10. What’s more, the company should be set to benefit from the strong iron ore price, which has rebounded to about $130 per ton during the last few months, from a low of around $70 per ton. With its low valuation investors could be missing out on Rio’s potential for profit. 

Foolish summary

So all in all, the market may not be due for a correction just yet. Indeed, while some companies and sectors currently look expensive, others including those mentioned above, do not.

Overall, there are still deals to be had in this market it just takes time to find them. 

>Rupert owns shares in Royal Dutch Shell and Standard Chartered. The Motley Fool owns Standard Chartered.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

What next for Barclays shares, after this shock 15% slump?

What a tangled web we encounter when we look too deeply into the workings of the global banking sector. Barclays…

Read more »

Hydrogen testing at DLR Cologne
Investing Articles

Will the Rolls-Royce share price rise 5% or 36% by this time next year?

Rolls-Royce's share price hit new heights after stunning full-year results on Thursday (26 February). Can the FTSE 100 firm keep…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

Airtel Africa’s shares are up as others on the FTSE 100 plummet. What’s going on?

With yet another conflict starting in the Middle East, James Beard notes that investors are still buying Airtel Africa’s shares.…

Read more »

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Hot dates for dividend investors to mark in their March diaries

The year's stock market gains might be taking some edge off high yields, but UK dividend investors still have plenty…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

Is it time to snap up Nvidia stock, after it fell 9% on Q4 results?

Nvidia makes a laughing stock of naysayers and their doom-and-gloom moods yet again, but the stock responds with a hefty…

Read more »

Close-up of a woman holding modern polymer ten, twenty and fifty pound notes.
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA to generate a second income of £2,700 a month in 2050?

Ben McPoland highlights a 6%-yielding stock from the FTSE 100 index that could contribute towards an attractive second income.

Read more »

Iberian plane on runway
Investing Articles

Is this a once-in-a-decade chance to snap up my highest conviction UK share?

Harvey Jones is a big fan of this beaten-down UK share and reckons it offers some of the most exciting…

Read more »

Front view photo of a woman using digital tablet in London
Investing Articles

Down 34%, I think this FTSE 100 stock’s a top share to consider in March!

This FTSE 100 share's slumped in value as software stocks across the globe have retraced. Royston Wild asks: is this…

Read more »