Why I’m Bullish On Aviva plc

The most recent update from Aviva plc (LON: AV) has made me even more optimistic.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Although I consider myself to be an income-seeking investor, I’ve always been of the opinion that a dividend must first be sustainable before I consider investing in the company.

Indeed, there seems to be little point in investing in a company that, in the long run, will be unable to afford its dividend payments. Doing so may be fine in the short run but, as a longer term investor, it makes little sense to me.

So, the fact that Aviva (LSE: AV) (NYSE: AV.US) cut its dividend payments in March of this year seems to me to be a sensible move.

Moreover, although there were murmurings among some investors of it no longer offering a 6%+ yield, it looks as though the cut was logical, prudent and showed that management are acting in the best interests of long-term shareholders.

Indeed, the most recent results released by the company show that its turnaround story is progressing well. The value of new business increased by 17% in the first half of 2013 versus the comparative period in 2012, with particularly encouraging growth being seen in France, the UK, Poland and across Asia.

Furthermore, profit after tax improved considerably, with Aviva making a profit of £776m having made a loss of £624m in the first half of 2012. Cash flows, meanwhile, have also increased by 30% to £573m, with operating capital generation being slightly higher at £936m versus £906m in 2012.

Commenting on the results, Aviva  chief executive Mark Wilson said that tackling the ‘legacy issues’ will take time, but that he is “committed to achieving for investors what we set out to do: turning around the company to unlock the considerable value in Aviva”.

Of course, shares currently yield less than they did before the dividend cut, but a prospective yield of 4% still looks very good to me — especially now it is far more sustainable than it previously was.

In addition, shares seem to offer good value, trading on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.8. This compares favourably to the FTSE 100 and to the wider financials industry group, which have P/Es of 15.1 and 18.8 respectively.

So, Aviva looks to be making a comeback, with growth opportunities in emerging markets as well as certain developed ones (including the UK). Furthermore, shares offer an above average (and sustainable) yield and relatively cheap valuation.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

> Peter owns shares in Aviva.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Is it game over for the Diageo share price?

The Diageo share price is showing as much spirit as an alcohol-free cocktail. Harvey Jones is wondering whether he should…

Read more »

Young Caucasian girl showing and pointing up with fingers number three against yellow background
Investing Articles

3 key reasons why AstraZeneca’s share price looks a steal to me right now

AstraZeneca’s share price has fallen a long way from its record-breaking level last year, which indicates that I may be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how investors could aim for a £6,531 annual passive income from £11,000 of Aviva shares

As a stock’s yield rises when its price falls, I'm not bothered by Aviva shares’ apparent inability to break the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 million reasons why earning a second income is more important than ever

With AI posing a threat to UK jobs, our writer considers ways to earn a second income by investing in…

Read more »

Petrochemical engineer working at night with digital tablet inside oil and gas refinery plant
Investing Articles

With an 8% yield, is the second-largest FTSE 250 stock worth considering?

Our writer considers the value of the second-largest stock on the FTSE 250 with a £4bn market cap and a…

Read more »

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

10%+ dividend yields! 3 top dividend shares to consider in 2025!

Investing in these high-yield UK dividend shares could deliver a huge passive income for years to come. Royston Wild explains…

Read more »

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Greggs’ share price tanked last week. So I bought more!

Could Greggs be one of the FTSE 250's best bargains following its share price slump? Royston Wild thinks so, as…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Games Workshop shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Despite inflation, higher interest rates, and a cost of living crisis, Games Workshop shares have gone from strength to strength…

Read more »